President Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill now has the votes to proceed in the House, with 220 Republicans voting for the bill in today’s test vote.

 
This may look good, but according to Chad Pergram, they don’t yet have the votes to pass the bill out of the House and on to Trump’s desk:

The Hitchhiker’s Guide to Where We Stand on the Big, Beautiful Bill

The House GOP leadership goal is to still debate and pass the bill tonight.

But if they had the votes, the House would have voted already.

They don’t have the votes – yet. But House GOPers are working toward that. My crystal ball pegs a vote sometime deep in the overnight or around dawn if they are able to pry this loose.

Frankly, the “Stockholm Syndrome” will likely kick in the later Members are moored here. After a while, they might begin to agree with their captors. That often happens with late night sessions after Members get tired and tempers are frayed.

Here’s where things stand now on the floor.

The House is now frozen on ANOTHER procedural vote which began today at 2:07 pm et. The House could close that vote at any time. But House GOP leaders don’t want to do so. That would trigger a test vote to start debate on the bill. Republicans don’t have the votes for that. So, they are in a holding pattern on the previous vote.

This vote to make a technical change to the “rule” has a chance to become the longest vote in House history. The House could cross that threshold at 9:28 pm et. The House established the current record for the longest vote on a motion to adjourn in 2021. That vote lasted seven hours and 21 minutes.

So we expect the House to sit on the old vote that’s been open for hours now until they get a deal. Then they will close this vote and vote on the test vote to actually get to the bill.

If the House clears the test vote, it can then debate the bill.

That debate is allotted for an hour. But it will take longer than that. Plus, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) is expected to consume an hour on his own via the “Magic Minute” afforded top party leaders. It’s called a “Magic Minute” because the leaders are only given a “minute” to speak. But as a courtesy, they allow the leaders to speak as long as they wish.

Once debate on the bill concludes, the House then goes to final passage – if they have the votes.

It’s about the math.

The GOP can only lose three votes and still pass the bill. Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) remains a nay. House Freedom Caucus Chairman Andy Harris (R-MD) voted “present” on the House version in May. Harris signaled earlier he wasn’t to yes yet.

 
It was reported a little while ago that Rep. Ralph Norman from the House Freedom Caucus wants to wait until morning to vote on the rule regarding the reconciliation bill.

NEWS: Rep. Ralph NORMAN tells me after HFC mtg breaks up that the caucus is communicating to House GOP leadership now that they WILL NOT vote for the rule on reconciliation bill tonight & are advising return IN THE MORNING

“What we just decided in there – we’re advising not to put the rule vote up tonight. Don’t keep the staff there… Freedom Caucus isn’t gonna vote tonight”

NORMAN adds HFC has more questions to work through on policy & enforcement

So I guess this current vote will stay open all night.

 
UPDATE: Trump wants them to vote on this tonight, saying they are united and ready: