New York Times columnist, Ross Douthat, put out this prediction this morning for how the election will end and he explains the simple logic in his ‘model’ as to why he believes it will be a landslide.

Here’s what he wrote:

It’s really hard to argue with that kind of logic! I would add to this just how panicky Democrats have been in the last few weeks. Between the two, Trump is a shoe-in!

What makes me nervous is when I see just how narrow the margins for victory are according to pollsters like Nate Silver:

Which is why I remain cautiously optimistic and won’t get ahead of myself. But I really do hope that Douthat’s logic is sound and I believe it is!