A new poll out today from Emerson shows a much closer race in the swing states between Kamala and Trump and she’s still losing.

Arizona is by far the best of the states for Trump. Every other state shows the race is within 2 or 3 points.

Via Interactive Polls:

ARIZONA
???? Trump: 53% (+6)
???? Harris: 47%
—
GEORGIA
???? Trump: 51% (+2)
???? Harris: 49%
—
MICHIGAN
???? Trump: 51% (+2)
???? Harris: 49%
—
PENNSYLVANIA
???? Trump: 51% (+2)
???? Harris: 49%
—
WISCONSIN
???? Harris: 51% (+2)
???? Trump: 49%
—
#9 (3/2.9/3.0) | N=4,095 | July 22-23

As one X user said, “This is the honeymoon peak for Harris, all downhill from here!” I don’t know if it’s peak for Kamala but if it is, this is great news for Trump.

The full ‘lowdown’ from Emerson is below:

The sample size for Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan is n=800 per state. The credibility interval for each state is +/-3.4%. The sample size in Pennsylvania is n=850, with a credibility interval of +/-3.3%. The sample size for Wisconsin is n=845, with a credibility interval of +/-3.3%. Data was weighted by statewide voter parameters, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, and voter registration and turnout data.

The survey was administered by contacting respondents’ cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response with respondents provided by Aristotle, along with an online panel provided by CINT. Data was collected between July 22-23, 2024. The survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Emerson College & Nexstar Media.

Just to point out, Steve Deace really likes Emerson, saying “Emerson is one of the most accurate pollsters last couple of cycles.”