Biden is losing to Trump by 5 in the new NBC poll. Biden is getting smoked in almost every category, including having the necessary mental and physical health to be president, not, one assumes, an incidental matter when you are seeking to be president again.

These numbers represent such a debacle, I understand why so many smart people assume Democrats will switch out Biden—because he represents an insane bet for their party. I don’t think that’s going to happen, though. They’ve got to, as I mentioned the other day, hope the economy keeps improving and that they can disqualify Trump, including through the lawfare campaign against him.

Lawfare is the bright spot for Biden in this poll, by the way, since he pulls ahead in the hypothetical match-up if Trump is convicted. But we don’t know how voters will really react if that conviction comes, especially if it is in the ridiculous Alvin Bragg case which looks like it’s going to go first and easily could be the only one to go to trail this year.