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National Review
8 Nov 2023
Dominic Pino

Some are trying to make a national story out of last night’s elections, but I don’t see one.
Note that none of these stories has much to do with Donald Trump, or much to do with abortion. Democrats definitely smeared GOP candidates in Virginia as “ultra-MAGA,” which didn’t help with voters in the suburban districts the GOP needed to flip. The abortion ballot referendum in Ohio was won by the pro-choice side by a large margin, joining the trend we’ve seen in other states. But knowing nothing but the fundamentals of each state beforehand, you’d expect Tate Reeves to win comfortably but by a lower margin than other Republicans, Andy Beshear to win, and the Virginia legislature to be about 50-50 — and that’s exactly what happened.