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National Review
27 Sep 2023
Rich Lowry

The new CBS News poll shows Trump at 51 and 50 percent in Iowa and New Hampshire respectively. The shred of good news is that “only” 20 percent in Iowa and 23 percent in New Hampshire say they are only considering Trump (obviously any of the other candidates would love that level of baked-in support). Forty-eight percent in Iowa and 43 percent in New Hampshire say they are considering Trump and someone else, and 31 percent and 34 percent, respectively, say they are not considering Trump. Of course, you’d much rather be Trump, but this finding shows a crack of an opening for something to change in the race as people begin to pay more attention.