A new ad for Pennsylvania Democratic senator Bob Casey features a married couple with different politics but who find common ground on the incumbent senator.

On politics, we just don’t agree — except for Bob Casey.  He’s independent. That’s right! Casey’s leading the effort to stop corporate greed-flation and price gouging. Casey bucked Biden to protect fracking and he sided with Trump to end NAFTA and put tariffs on China to stop them from cheating.

First, don’t buy the spin that Bob Casey is some independent maverick; he voted with the Biden administration’s position 98.5 percent of the time.

Second, note Casey isn’t running ads emphasizing how much he agrees with Kamala Harris.

If you’re the Casey campaign, the only reason you run ads touting where you agree with Trump is if Trump is winning in your state, and/or the voters dislike you because they think you’re a knee-jerk partisan opponent of everything Trump does. This feels like a quiet admission by the Casey campaign that their internal numbers show Trump with a small but significant lead in the Keystone State.

(Also note that last week, NBC News’ Chuck Todd predicted that Republican Dave McCormick will win. “There’s something missing for Casey this time.”)