Veteran Nevada political reporter Jon Ralston is keeping tabs on the early vote in the state, and though things can change quickly, the news is not encouraging for Vice President Kamala Harris and Democrats:

The headline: Republicans lead statewide in Nevada after three days of early voting and mail ballot counting. This has not happened in a presidential year in The Reid Machine Era, which encompasses the races since 2008. This could signal serious danger for the Dems and for Kamala Harris here.

Ralston finds that rural turnout is overperforming and Clark County, which is home to Las Vegas, is underperforming. “The Clark firewall has all but collapsed,” he wrote last night — and this morning added that overnight data cut into the GOP lead, but Republicans are still up about two points.

It cannot be emphasize enough that there are still weeks to go, and a new batch of votes could change things at any time.

For a deeper dive into the numbers, check out his full post.