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National Review
4 Mar 2025
Dominic Pino

Higher prices for the goods to which tariffs apply, negative effect on GDP growth, negative effect on jobs numbers, continued stock market underperformance.
If Trump is actually going to do unilateral tariffs on Mexico and Canada tomorrow — remember, he said once before that there was nothing they could do to avoid them and then changed his mind, and the whole thing is legally questionable and could be stopped by the courts — here’s what I expect the economic effects to be: