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National Review
National Review
5 Mar 2024
Jim Geraghty


NextImg:The Corner: Biden Doesn’t Know What He’s Talking About, Recent Polling Edition

Today, in a brief exchange with reporters, President Biden insisted he was leading in the last five polls.

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It’s hard to get a clear sense of what Biden has in mind. In the RealClearPolitics average, Biden leads just three of the last ten national polls, with one tied. It’s a similar story over at FiveThirtyEight. Both RCP and FiveThirtyEight are pretty darn good poll aggregators, and it’s unlikely they would miss some survey that the allegedly anti-Biden mainstream media just refused to mention, much less miss five in a row.

Nor is it possible Biden was referring to polling in the swing states. Trump has led every recent poll in ArizonaGeorgia, Michigan, Nevada and North Carolina. Biden has led three of the last five in Pennsylvania, and one of the last five in Wisconsin, with two ties.

You can’t “win” a job approval poll, but those, too, are looking grim for Biden. His job approval rating is at 38.2 in the FiveThirtyEight average, and 39.6 in the RCP average.

In other words, once again, when confronted with a tough question, Biden offered a happy-talk response that has no connection to reality. Everything always looks okay to Mr. Magoo.