National polling of the 2024 GOP primary has been all over the place, but the latest survey from Marquette, a high-quality pollster, shows a close race between Trump and DeSantis — with a clear edge for DeSantis in a head-to-head matchup:

The early contests will obviously shape the race, but national polls such as this one suggest DeSantis could win the nomination if he can score an early victory and quickly consolidate non-Trump voters behind him.