


The oil price outlook is being hit with more bearish forecasts on the back of U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping and market-hammering tariff announcements. Businesses and investors worry that a trade war and lower global growth lies ahead.
Goldman Sachs on Thursday reduced its December 2025 forecasts for global and U.S. benchmarks Brent crude and WTI by $5 to $66 and $62 a barrel, respectively, "because the two key downside risks we have flagged are realizing, namely tariff escalation and somewhat higher OPEC+ supply."
The bank also cut its forecasts for the oil benchmarks in 2025 and 2026, adding that "we no longer forecast a price range, because price volatility is likely to stay elevated on higher recession risk." Analysts at S&P Global Market Intelligence predict that in a worst-case scenario, global oil demand growth could be slashed by 500,000 barrels per day.