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Zero Hedge
ZeroHedge
5 Nov 2024


NextImg:Trump Vs Kamala: The Complete Election Day Guide

Compilation of reports from NewSquawk (pdf format for pro subs), Deutsche Bank (pdf format for pro subs) Goldman Sachs (pdf format for pro subs), and JPMorgan (pdf 1 and pdf 2 for pro subs)

Presidential Race

Senate Race

House Race

Poll Closing Times

Results

Key State Battlegrounds

Pennsylvania

Winning Combinations

Key Battleground Counties

Electoral College

Figure 1

Figure 2

Figure 3

What about election disputes? All recounts and/or disputes must be settled by December 11

Election Impact on Financial Markets

US Election Scenarios

JPM SCENARIOS: MARKET INTELLIGENCE ELECTION TRADING VIEW

JPM FX SCENARIOS UNDER VARIOUS US ELECTION OUTCOMES (JPM FX RESEARCH)

JPM Research Scenarios:

ING Election Scenarios:

Macro Impact

Current Polling

In terms of recent changes and current polling in the swing states (Polls as of November 4th vs prev. W/W Oct. 28th, and M/M October 1st):

Meanwhile, nationally (Polls as of November 4th vs prev. Nov. 1st D/D, Oct. 27th W/W, and Oct. 1st M/M):

Weekend Updates (Key updates since Oct. 31st, when the Newsquawk US Election Guide first went out)

Recent Changes

Key policies

House Races

Senate Races

Electoral College

More in the full reports from NewSquawk (pdf format for pro subs), Deutsche Bank (pdf format for pro subs) Goldman Sachs (pdf format for pro subs), and JPMorgan (pdf 1 and pdf 2 for pro subs)