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Zero Hedge
ZeroHedge
15 Mar 2023


NextImg:Retail Sales & Producer Prices Drop In Feb

With CPI having slapped some macro-sense back into people's minds after a week focused on SVB's fallout, this morning's PPI and Retail Sales data could further that trend - despite Credit Suisse grabbing everyone's attention today so far.

Producer Prices unexpectedly soared in January and analysts expected February data to show a slowdown in acceleration of prices. It did dramatically, dropping 0.1% MoM (+0.3% MoM exp) to its lowest YoY since March 2021...

Source: Bloomberg

The pipeline for PPI is also now dragging the headline even lower...

Source: Bloomberg

Who could have seen that coming?

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And PPI is now leading CPI lower...

Source: Bloomberg

With price rises slowing, retail sales (measured nominally) were expected to shrink in February and they did, down 0.4% MoM as expected...

Source: Bloomberg

That is the lowest YoY rise in retail sales since Dec 2020...

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 Excluding gasoline and autos, retail sales were flat.

Nine out of 13 retail categories fell last month, led by furniture and restaurants.

The report showed vehicle sales declined 1.8% in February. The value of sales at gasoline stations decreased 0.6%, likely reflecting lower prices in the month.

It looks like the 'lag' from monetary policy is catching us up.