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Jul 26, 2025  |  
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Paul Bedard


NextImg:Vance edges Newsom, AOC, and Buttigieg in 2028 matchup - Washington Examiner

Vice President JD Vance leads the top Democratic candidates eyeing a presidential bid in 2028 in the latest poll to confirm that MAGA’s No. 2 is competitive in a race that is still three years off.

In the latest Emerson College Polling survey, Vance edged out former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), and Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA).

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His leads aren’t big, but the survey comes on the heels of others that show he is ahead in a likely close race.

Emerson’s numbers:

— Vance 44%, Buttigieg 43%, and undecided at 13%

— Vance 44%, Ocasio-Cortez 41%, and undecided at 15%.

— Vance 45%, Newsom 42%, and undecided at 13%.

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Vance in other polls also leads in the GOP presidential primary, and by a mile. Typically, Donald Trump Jr. is second followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted that most partisans have already decided to stick with their side, but there is a sizable number of “persuadable” voters.

“A key takeaway from the ballot tests is that about 13% of the electorate remains persuadable, while the other 87% have already settled on a party preference,” Kimball said.