The United States experienced a record drop in homicides in 2023, following a spike after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 riots.

According to data compiled by the FBI and independent criminologists, the U.S. is set to experience a massive drop in homicides compared to the previous year, the New York Times reported. In 2020, the country saw the largest increase in murders ever.

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Among nine violent and property crime categories covered by the FBI, only vehicle theft went up, with the rest experiencing a notable decline.

Jeff Asher, a New Orleans-based crime analyst, said that the data show that crime rates are affected by "big national factors."

“Murder didn’t go up because of things that happened in individual neighborhoods or individual streets,” he said. “It went up because of these big national factors, and I think the big national factors are probably driving it down. The biggest of which is probably COVID going to the background.”

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Despite the decline, however, murder and most other crimes remain higher than they were before 2020.

The drop in murder rates and other violent crimes also varies by city. Detroit is on track to record the lowest number of murders since the 1960s, while Philadelphia and Los Angeles experienced particularly notable drops in homicides and shooting victims, respectively. In contrast, Washington, D.C., experienced a two-decade high in murders.