


President Joe Biden is trailing former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 matchup one year out from the 2024 presidential election.
In a hypothetical Biden-Trump rematch, the former president is polling 49% among registered voters to Biden’s 45%, according to a CNN poll released Tuesday evening. By a slim margin, Biden is losing voters under 35 — 48% support Trump, and 47% support Biden.
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Biden also falls behind former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley in a hypothetical matchup — 49% of voters support Haley, and 43% support Biden. Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is also leading the president with 48% compared to 46% for Biden.
In 2020, Biden won over 70% of black and Hispanic voters, but new numbers indicate the Latino voting bloc may be less enthusiastic about the president’s reelection. Fifty percent of Latino voters favor Biden, compared to 46% for Trump. The CNN poll shows black voters still strongly support Biden — 73% are for Biden, and 23% are for Trump.
Biden is losing support with independents, a crucial voting bloc in swing states. Recent national polling showed Trump is leading in five of six key battlegrounds. Tuesday’s poll reports 45% of independent voters would back Trump and that 41% would back Biden.
This week, a New York Times/Siena College poll showed Biden holding on to Wisconsin, but Trump led the president in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Nevada, all states that will help determine the 2024 election.
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The poll was a random national sample, surveying 1,514 adults from Oct. 27 to Nov. 2, and it had a margin of error of 3.1%.
Sunday marks exactly one year until the next presidential election, and Biden is struggling to hold support in several swing states and underperforming with key groups of voters who carried him in 2020.