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Naomi Lim


NextImg:Trump hangs hopes for 2026 midterm elections on One Big Beautiful Act - Washington Examiner

President Donald Trump is counting on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act helping Republicans protect their majorities in Congress next year, despite the Democratic Party traditionally outperforming its counterpart in midterm elections.

However, Trump is contending with continued criticism of his administration’s management of the Jeffrey Epstein files and problematic polling regarding his legislative accomplishments.

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Trump has underscored the importance of promoting the One Big Beautiful Act. Its passing makes his 2017 tax cuts permanent; increases spending on defense, border security, and immigration enforcement; and decreases spending on Medicaid and food stamps. Democrats simultaneously undermine it before next year’s midterm elections.

“We’re going to have to start speaking about it because the Democrats use it. They say it represents death,” Trump said last week. “We’re the ones that are giving life. We’re giving life with that bill.”

To that end, White House spokeswoman Abigail Jackson told the Washington Examiner the administration “plans to communicate the massive achievements in the One Big Beautiful Bill at every opportunity.”

“The One Big Beautiful Bill is an encapsulation of the campaign promises that the American people elected President Trump to enact — and just six months into his term, he has delivered on so many of them,” Jackson said. “Whether it’s tax cuts, a more secure border, a stronger military, or any other provision in the legislation, there’s something for everyone.”

That endeavor started in earnest last week with Vice President JD Vance‘s trip to West Pittston, Pennsylvania, where he addressed a crowd at Don’s Machine Shop.

Vance previewed that the United States would “take off in a rocket ship with good policy coming from D.C.” and the One Big Beautiful Act, including programs for workers, such as incentives for young people to pursue career pathways other than higher education. The vice president also underlined the legislation’s border provisions and “Trump Accounts,” which will provide American newborns with $1,000 in a tax-deferred savings account.

“Take what I said and … go talk to your neighbors, go and talk to your friends about what this bill does for American citizens,” he said.

A White House official told the Washington Examiner the administration did not have any more events to announce immediately, but promised “a sustained, government-wide effort, including Cabinet secretaries, to tout the many benefits of the legislation across the country.”

“We’ll be sure to communicate all the many individual policy wins depending on the audience,” the official said. “Tax cuts and immigration are two large components, but there is so much more — unleashing American energy, rebuilding our military, modernizing our air traffic control systems, benefits for small businesses, etc.”

Trump’s aim to promote the One Big Beautiful Act comes amid the president’s attempt to move on from criticism from the likes of Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) to Laura Loomer after Attorney General Pam Bondi overpromised and underdelivered regarding the Epstein files. Bondi told Fox News in February that the convicted sex offender’s client list was “on her desk” before the FBI concluded this month that no such list exists. The attorney general has since said she was referencing the entirety of the files rather than the client list.

Regardless of pressure from Greene and Loomer, Trump last week did not recommend that a special prosecutor be appointed to investigate the government’s management of the Epstein files. But Bondi’s Justice Department asked a court on Friday to disclose grand jury testimony concerning his case.

“The president has said if the Department of Justice and the FBI want to move forward with releasing any further credible evidence, they should do so. As to why they have or have not or will, you should ask the FBI,” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Monday.

As Trump tries to promote the One Big Beautiful Act, Democratic strategist Christopher Hahn told the Washington Examiner that the president “is a master at changing the topic.” But Republican lawyer and lobbyist Bud Cummins argued that Trump deserved the opportunity to promote the One Big Beautiful Act after the judiciary repeatedly undercut his policy agenda.

“Trump’s first administration was bogged down by a fake Russian collusion investigation,” Cummins told the Washington Examiner. “This time around, his political opponents have managed to thwart many of his initiatives using nationwide injunctions issued by politically biased judges.”

Democrats do have an edge in generic congressional ballot polling a year-and-a-half before the 2026 midterm elections, averaging 45% support to Republicans’ 43%, according to RealClearPolitics. The House GOP has a slim three-seat majority, with 18 competitive races next year, according to the Cook Political Report. Meanwhile, Senate Republicans have a bigger majority, with the GOP having a more advantageous map.

In addition to generic congressional polling, a CBS poll published last weekend found that six in 10 respondents disapprove of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. A plurality told pollsters, too, that they predicted that the legislation would “hurt” them and their families and be more likely to “help “wealthy people,” compared to those who are “middle class” or “poor.”

“Every American needs to ask themselves — am I better off now than I was six months ago?” Democratic National Committee Chairman Ken Martin told reporters last weekend. “Unless you’re a billionaire or a big CEO, the answer is no. In six months, Donald Trump has skyrocketed prices for basic necessities, sparked an erratic trade war with no end in sight, and orchestrated the largest cuts to healthcare and food assistance in American history.”

A White House official downplayed the polls, saying, “The policies in the One Big Beautiful Bill are hugely popular with the American public,” before citing a New Harvard Harris poll.

“The administration will message strongly around all of the many, very popular components of the bill,” the official said.

Despite polling, House Republicans have expressed confidence in their capacity to promote the One Big Beautiful Bill Act as they prepare to recess next week for the summer.

“It’s really easy to sell [because] it’s exactly what my district wanted,” Rep. Roger Williams (R-TX) told the Washington Examiner. “If you can’t sell lower taxes, and less government, and fewer regulations, a strong border wall, to raise [salaries for] the military, no tax on tips, overtime, Social Security, you can’t sell anything.”

For Rep. Mike Haridopolos (R-FL), the One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s economic message is politically compelling, particularly after Republican candidates successfully campaigned on it last year.

“We really tried to focus on tax cuts and those folks hardest hit, and we know they’re going to save, invest, and spend, so I think it’s going to be really positive,” Haridopolos told the Washington Examiner. “I feel really confident that when it’s election time next year, the facts will stand out. We’ll have a strong economy. We took care of our most vulnerable, and those people who are able to work, I think, will be back in the workplace.”

Although One Big Beautiful Bill Act provisions will be introduced this year, including repealing taxes on tips and overtime pay along with electric vehicle tax credits, other, more controversial measures will not be implemented until after the 2026 elections, such as work requirements for Medicaid.

“This was an opportunity for us to invest in the future of America,” Rep. Beth Van Duyne (R-TX) told the Washington Examiner. “I think people are going to feel the effects of this bill almost overnight, whether or not it’s the increase in child tax credits, or whether or not it’s the increase in guaranteed deductions, families, on average, are going to feel nearly $5,000 in their pocket.”

Republicans, including Rep. Brian Babin (R-TX), have dismissed Democratic criticism of the One Big Beautiful Act, condemning it as lies.

“What we’re doing to Social Security is getting the dead people off, getting the people off of the rolls that’s purportedly are 200 years old and up,” Babin told the Washington Examiner. “We didn’t touch Medicare either. We didn’t touch Medicaid, except waste, fraud, and abuse. We instituted some work requirements, and we’re kicking off 1.4 million illegal aliens that the law says shouldn’t be on there. So we’re not out to destroy these programs. We’re out to save them for young people like you.”

Trump’s promotion of the One Big Beautiful Act is only part of the president’s strategy regarding next year’s elections. He has also put pressure on Texas to undertake rare mid-cycle redistricting to create five new Republican House districts to help protect the GOP majority in that chamber. Democrats are considering doing something similar in California, New York, New Jersey, Minnesota, and Washington to counteract anything Texas does.

Trump’s political operation has similarly confirmed the president has secured $1.4 billion in commitments since last year’s elections to spend on next year’s contests as the White House proactively encourages and discourages specific candidates from running or not running, including in the Texas Senate and New York gubernatorial races.

Rachel Schilke and Lauren Green contributed to this report.