


Hunter Biden being indicted on an amended gun charge by the end of this month will complicate President Joe Biden's reelection campaign, particularly if there is a trial.
But how deeply Hunter Biden becomes a political problem for his father depends on special counsel David Weiss's charging decision amid Republican criticism and as House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) comes under more pressure to commence an impeachment inquiry into the president.
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Hunter Biden is "a huge political problem" for the president, according to Republican strategist Cesar Conda.
"A new CNN poll finds a majority of Americans now think he was involved in Hunter's business dealings, with 42% saying he acted illegally," Conda, Sen. Marco Rubio's (R-FL) former chief of staff and the founding partner of GOP lobbying firm Navigators Global, told the Washington Examiner.
Conda implored House Republicans "to use their gavels to expose the sordid details of the Bidens' business dealings."
"But at the same time, the GOP must continue to hammer on Biden's policy failures on the economy, inflation, and the border, which are the top concerns of American voters," he said.
A CNN poll published Thursday did report that more than three-fifths of the survey's adult respondents consider Joe Biden to have had at least "some" involvement in his business dealings when he was vice president, with 18% saying his actions "were unethical but not illegal." Another 38% told pollsters they do not think Biden had any involvement in his son’s business dealings, with 1% saying the president was involved but that he did not do anything wrong. On a separate question, 55% said Biden has acted inappropriately regarding the investigation into his son, while 44% said that he has acted appropriately.
The Republican National Committee amplified the poll, describing it as "a stark look into Americans’ deep dissatisfaction with the Biden presidency."
"Americans have significant doubts about Biden’s performance, integrity, and fitness," RNC spokesman Jake Schneider said.
Meanwhile, the White House has ramped up its response to House Republicans lobbying McCarthy for a vote on whether the chamber should start an impeachment inquiry into Biden as the speaker tries to hold on to his position amid a government funding fight.
"If Speaker McCarthy opens an impeachment inquiry simply to throw red meat to his most extreme far-right members like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gaetz, it will prove that this is nothing more than an evidence-free political stunt to baselessly attack the president, not a legitimate inquiry to pursue the truth," White House spokesman Ian Sams said of the Georgia and Florida Republicans.
Pollster David Paleologos described "crosscurrents" in the data because Weiss contemplating an amended indictment for Hunter Biden "dispels" Republican complaints concerning his so-called sweetheart deal and "a two-tiered justice system."
"If Republicans overplay this, there potentially could be a backlash, unless the indictment is an entry point into a more serious connection to President Biden-slash-Vice President Biden," the Suffolk University Political Research Center director said.
Simultaneously, Biden won the 2020 election in part because he was seen as "a calm, steady hand with a lot of political experience who was going to reach across the aisle, who had been in politics a long time, was corruption-free, despite being old."
"He's older, and if the impression is that he's corrupt, that's going to take away an important leg going forward," Paleologos added. "It might be one of those legs of the table that gets wobbly."
For Middlebury College political science professor Bert Johnson, Hunter Biden is not a priority for "most voters," but those who do have an opinion perceive it "as 'shady politics as usual.'"
"That means it does the Republicans some good to keep Hunter Biden in the news as [former President Donald] Trump’s criminal charges play out, to stoke the argument that the Trump charges are politically motivated," he said. "But it would hurt them to spend too much time on the issue, via an impeachment inquiry, for example, because it’s better to be seen as a party taking action on policy matters that affect average Americans."
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"This could be a tough balancing act — especially in light of a vocal group of conservative activists that want to spend all their time on the issue," he continued.
In a court filing Wednesday, Weiss outlined a Sept. 29 deadline for him and federal prosecutors to indict Hunter Biden after a plea deal related to two tax misdemeanor charges and an agreement for the younger Biden to participate in a two-year pretrial diversion program for a gun felony fell apart in court following questions from the judge about his immunity, including with respect to his foreign business dealings. The president's son made a false statement on a government form when he failed to disclose his addiction to crack cocaine during the application process to purchase a Colt Cobra 38SPL revolver in 2018.