Liberal group Indivisible is urging Democrats to push to include the Arizona Abortion Access Act on Arizona's 2024 ballot, just days after Ohio voted down a ballot measure that would make it harder to amend the state constitution ahead of an abortion rights amendment that will be on the ballot in November.
On Tuesday, Ohio voters rejected Issue 1 by a 14-point margin, a clear sign that abortion rights are a winning issue for Democrats, Indivisible argued. The Arizona abortion amendment would require 384,000 signatures to be included on the 2024 ballot, which the group conceded is a "heavy lift."
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"In 2022, Democrats defied historical midterm trends for the party in power by running aggressively on defending abortion rights from MAGA extremists. That fight continues through state-level ballot measures, as Ohio voters on Tuesday rejected an anti-democratic effort designed to make passing abortion protections harder," Indivisible wrote in a memo reported by Politico. "In 2024, national Democratic donors and stakeholders should look to Arizona as the next state with a serious, layered return on investment for putting abortion on the ballot."
The memo explained that new polling shows the state has a streak for abortion rights that "crosses party lines" to energize the Democratic base, boosting Democratic candidates across the board while "muddying the waters" for Republican voters.
The group cited polling indicating 60% of Arizona voters, regardless of party, "consider themselves pro-choice rather than pro-life," including a majority of independents.
Overall, 58% of Arizona voters "think the Supreme Court was wrong to overturn Roe v. Wade," the memo added.
The group also laid out a road map to meeting the ballot measure signature threshold, which would include looping in reproductive rights and healthcare groups and grassroots organizers.
President Joe Biden won Arizona in the 2020 general election with 49% of the vote, and Indivisible argued that leaning into abortion rights would give Democrats a significant electoral bump in a critical swing state.
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"Republicans and anti-abortion advocates know that a ballot measure in Arizona would be bad news for them. About one-third of Republicans have moderate to liberal views on abortion and don't agree with the extreme MAGA views of their GOP elected officials — and our data shows some would rather sit the election out entirely if the election becomes about abortion rights," the group concluded. "They're hoping this measure doesn't qualify for the ballot, but we know that with national investment we can clear the qualification hurdles."
The Arizona abortion measure has already earned public support from a number of interest groups, including Planned Parenthood, Healthcare Rising Arizona, the ACLU of Arizona, NARAL, and more.