A new poll revealed Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in the battleground state of Georgia.
According to an AARP poll from the bipartisan team of Fabrizio-Ward and Impact Research, Georgia is seemingly a dead heat between the two major parties. After President Joe Biden exited the race, Democrats believe renewed enthusiasm has put the state back in play.
Harris and Trump are both polling 48%-48% in a head-to-head ballot. When third-party candidates are included, the former president leads the vice president, pulling 46% of the support to her 44%, and third-party candidates receive 7% of the support. Harris has a 5-point lead with independent voters in the state.
Among voters 50 and older, Trump has an 8-point lead over Harris. When broken down by gender, Trump has a 17-point lead with men 50 and older while Harris has a 2-point lead with women 50 and older. Voters 50 and older make up 58% of the electorate in Georgia.
When broken down by demographic, black voters in Georgia prefer Harris far more than Trump, by 70 points. The lead increases for Harris with older black voters. Black voters 65 and older prefer Harris by 88 points, while voters between 50 and 64 prefer Harris by 77 points over Trump. White voters prefer Trump by 38 points.
The poll found family caregivers were the most motivated group to vote, with 90% of caregivers 50 and older categorized as extremely motivated to vote. Among this group, Trump leads Harris by 1 point. Thirty-five percent of this group indicated they were persuadable and had not yet made a decision on a candidate.
Eleven percent of those polled who are 50 or older said they are undecided in the presidential race. In 2020, Biden narrowly flipped Georgia blue by a little more than 11,000 votes, marking the first time the state voted for a Democrat for president since 1992.
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The majority of those polled said the economy was their top issue going into the election, with 61% indicating that inflation, jobs, and social security were top of mind.
Methodology: The poll interviewed 1,384 likely voters across the state with 600 likely statewide voters, 494 likely voters over the age of 50, and 160 black voters over the age of 50 from July 24-31. Twenty-five percent of interviews were conducted over a landline, 35% over a cellphone, and 40% over SMS to web. The list was randomly drawn from the Georgia voter list. The margin of error is +/- 4% of the statewide voters, +/- 3.5% for voters over 50, and +/- 4.9% for black voters over 50.