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Jun 19, 2025  |  
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 | Remer,MN
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Tiana Lowe Doescher


NextImg:Failure to reform Social Security means an automatic 23% benefit cut in 7 years

Considering that Republicans cannot even unite to kick criminal illegal aliens off Medicaid with President Donald Trump‘s One Big Beautiful Bill, the notion that the president’s party would dare to reform the rest of the entitlement Leviathan is laughable, let alone the idea that Democrats even consider our fiscal trajectory a bad thing.

But despite the bipartisan consensus in Congress that putting the majority of our annual spending on autopilot is sustainable, the math doesn’t lie: in the 2025 audit of our nation’s largest entitlements, the Social Security Board of Trustees warned that both Social Security and Medicare — over a third of our annual federal outlays — will reach insolvency in 2033, accelerating at a faster rate than previously anticipated towards bankruptcy. And when they reach their “go-broke” dates, the benefit cuts will be even bigger than previously assumed.

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Social Security’s Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund will necessitate a 23% benefit cut in 2033, up from last year’s estimate of a 21% benefit cut upon insolvency. Medicare’s Hospital Insurance program will automatically cut benefits by 11% in 2033, an insolvency projection a full three years sooner than the 2024 estimate by the Trustees.

Even the Left’s preferred OASI bandage of raiding the Disability Insurance (DI) program offers increasingly diminishing returns. Contrary to the 2024 projection that raiding the DI Trust Fund would postpone insolvency to 2035 with an automatic benefit cut of 17%, the Trustees now estimate that combining OASI with DI would go insolvent in 2034, with an automatic benefit cut of 19%.

Both parties may be complicit in their refusal to reform entitlements, but the primary blame for the heightened speed and scope of insolvency of Social Security goes to Joe Biden, who signed the disastrous “Social Security Fairness Act” on his way out of the White House.

WAGES UP, INFLATION DOWN SINCE TRUMP TOOK OFFICE

“The repeal of [the Windfall Elimination and Government Pension Offset provisions of the Social Security Act] increased projected Social Security benefit levels for some workers, relative to projected benefit levels in last year’s report,” write the Trustees. “The impact of this legislation on the OASI Trust Fund was the primary contributor to the change in the combined OASDI fund depletion date this year.”

Only 20 Republicans in the Senate and 71 in the House voted against Biden’s bill. What makes you think the GOP has the spine to crack down on entitlements when the majority cannot even refuse to make the problem worse?