

Despite media hype, Kamala Harris lags Biden’s 2020 youth and minority support - Washington Examiner

President Joe Biden’s eleventh-hour withdrawal from his 2024 reelection bid has rendered the Democratic Party resigned to the reality that it is stuck with his persistently lackluster vice president. Despite the uphill battle against the ascendant former President Donald Trump, liberal cheerleaders in the press are determined to make Kamala Harris happen. Again.
You may know Harris as the cackling career politician who launched her state career running a full 10 points behind fellow California Democrats in 2010 — Harris won the attorney general race by less than 1 point — and who launched her presidential ambitions by flaming out of the 2020 contest before the Iowa caucuses. But our media betters are attempting to reintroduce Harris to the public for the umpteenth time as a “Gen Z meme queen,” consummate “Black girl next door,” and champion of minority voters everywhere who has gone “cringe to cool in 24 hours.”
It’s fully possible that Harris, who, unlike her boss, has the stamina to run an actual campaign, may indeed ingratiate herself among the young and nonwhite voters who have long comprised the backbone of the Democratic electorate. But even in polling released around and after Biden announced he was making way for Harris in 2024, the presumptive party presidential nominee still lags far behind Biden’s 2020 performance with those key demographics.
In 2020, Trump won just 8% of black voters, while Biden won 92%. But in the latest Economist-YouGov poll testing Harris and Trump against each other as well as other third-party candidates, 14% of black voters reported supporting Trump with just 63% of black respondents supporting Harris. In a two-way race, Trump’s support among black voters increases to 22%, and in another poll, NPR-PBS found that Trump garners the support of 34% of black voters.
In 2020, Biden won 59% of Hispanics and Trump another 38%, a marked increase from past generations of Republicans. In a multiway race, the Economist found that Trump again earns the support of 38% of Hispanics but Harris’s support craters to just 44%. In a two-way race, Trump’s support surges to 41% in the Economist poll and 42% in a Yahoo News poll.
Trump earned the support of 35% of voters younger than 30 in 2020, while Biden won 59%. In a multiway race, Harris’s support measured by the Economist falls to 49% with under-30s, and in a two-way matchup polled by CNN, Harris earns the support of just 47% of voters aged 18 to 34, while Trump earns 43%.
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Polls are indeed a mere snapshot in time. Maybe coconut memes and hanging out with Hollywood stars with help pave the way for Harris’s success among the young and nonwhite voters she requires to win the Electoral College. But Trump has already begun the realignment of the Latino vote, and if he indeed won the 21% of black voters who reported supporting him in a CBS poll, it would mark the single-best Republican performance with black voters since Richard Nixon’s 1960 loss to JFK.
Such a realignment would shatter the Democratic coalition in a way that might require the party to recreate its strategy from scratch. Harris indeed has the tools and the ability to show voters that she can work to earn their votes. But even the relatively young first black and first Asian vice president in the nation’s history is lagging far, far behind her octogenarian white boss just four years ago.