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Times Of Israel
Times Of Israel
5 Jul 2024


NextImg:UK’s Labour on track for landslide victory; Starmer: It’s clear people ready for change

Keir Starmer will become Britain’s next prime minister on Friday with his Labour Party set to win a massive majority in a parliamentary election, an exit poll indicated, forecasting Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives would suffer historic losses.

Centre-left Labour was on course to capture 410 of the 650 seats in parliament, an astonishing reversal of fortunes from five years ago when it suffered its worst performance since 1935 under the leadership of then-party leader Jeremy Corbyn.

The result would give Labour a majority of 170 and would bring the curtain down on 14 years of increasingly tumultuous Conservative-led government.

“Tonight, people here and around the country have spoken and they’re ready for change, to end the politics of performance, a return to politics as public service,” Starmer said after winning his seat in London.

As is custom in the UK, where prime ministers and prime minister-hopefuls often find themselves facing comic candidates, Starmer also shared the stage with Nick the Incredible Flying Brick, of the Monster Raving Looney Party, who gained 162 votes; and Bobby “Elmo” Smith, who won 19 votes while dressed as the beloved Sesame Street character.

“The change begins right here. Because this is your democracy, your community and your future. You have voted. It is now time for us to deliver.”

Britain’s Labour Party leader and incoming prime minister Keir Starmer shakes hands with comic candidates who stood in his constituency after he was elected for the Holborn and St Pancras constituency, in London, Friday, July 5, 2024.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Starmer will come to power with a daunting in-tray, with a sluggish economy, creaking public services, and falling living standards – all factors which contributed to the Conservatives’ demise.

Starmer’s predecessor Jeremy Corbyn retained his seat in Islington North after standing as an independent candidate, winning 24,120 votes. The constituency’s Labour candidate, widely seen as Corbyn’s strongest contender trailed far behind with 16,873 votes.

The far-left lawmaker was suspended from Labour in 2020 due to remarks he made following an investigation into antisemitism in the party under his leadership.

Sunak’s Conservative party was forecast to only win 131 seats, the worst electoral performance in its history, as voters punished them for a cost-of-living crisis, and years of instability and in-fighting which has seen five different prime ministers since the Brexit vote of 2016.

Defense Secretary Grant Shapps became the first senior Conservative member to lose his parliamentary seat on Friday, winning 16,078 votes compared to Labour candidate Andrew Lewin’s 19,877.

The centrist Liberal Democrats were predicted to capture 61 seats while the right-wing populist Reform UK party, headed by Brexit campaigner Nigel Farage was forecast to win 13, far more than expected.

Farage’s party won its first-ever parliamentary seats in the early hours of Friday morning, as Farage himself won his first election bid after seven failed attempts.

After a campaign that drew many voters away from the Conservatives, Farage promised in his speech after winning that the party would be coming for Labour voters next, and estimated that Starmer’s party would soon run into problems, saying that there was “no enthusiasm” for the party under his leadership.

Results from more than 120 seats confirmed Labour and the Liberal Democrats were making gains from the Conservatives, while Reform also claimed its first victories, and pushed the Conservatives into third place in many areas.

Members of the media watch the results of the general election exit poll on a large TV screen at the count for the Holborn and St Pancras constituency where the Labour Party leader Keir Starmer is standing for election, in London, Thursday, July 4, 2024. An exit poll suggests the Labour Party is headed for a huge majority in Britain’s election, ending 14 years of Conservative rule. The poll released moments after polls closed on Thursday indicates that Labour leader Keir Starmer will be the country’s next prime minister. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

“Reform has clearly done well tonight and I know the reaction of some of my colleagues will be that we should lurch to the right,” one Conservative lawmaker, who declined to be named, told Reuters. “But Labour have won this election in the center and we need to remember that lesson.”

Overall, the exit poll did suggest British voters had shifted support to an internationalist centre-left party, unlike in France where Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally party made historic gains in an election last Sunday.

It was not just the Conservatives whose vote was predicted to have collapsed. The pro-independence Scottish National Party was forecast to win only 10 seats, its worst showing since 2010, after a period of turmoil which has seen two leaders quit in little over a year.

“If this exit poll is correct, then this is a historic defeat for the Conservative Party,” Keiran Pedley, research director at Ipsos, which carried out the exit poll, told Reuters.

“It looked like the Conservatives were going to be in power for 10 years and it has all fallen apart.”

Sunak stunned Westminster and many in his own party by calling the election earlier than he needed to in May with the Conservatives trailing Labour by some 20 points in opinion polls.

He had hoped that the gap would narrow as had traditionally been the case in British elections but instead had a fairly disastrous campaign.

It started badly with him getting drenched by rain outside Downing Street as he announced the vote before aides and Conservative candidates became caught up in a gambling scandal, and Sunak’s early departure from D-Day commemorative events in France further fuelled criticism.

If the exit poll proves right, it represents an incredible turnaround for Starmer and Labour, which critics and supporters said was facing an existential crisis just three years ago when it appeared to have lost its way after its 2019 drubbing.

Britain’s Prime Minister and Conservative Party leader Rishi Sunak, and Labour Party leader Keir Starmer attend a live TV debate, hosted by The BBC, in Nottingham, on June 26, 2024, in the build-up to the UK general election on July 4. (Phil Noble / POOL / AFP)

But a series of scandals – most notably revelations of parties in Downing Street during COVID lockdowns – undermined then prime minister Boris Johnson and its commanding poll leads evaporated.

Liz Truss’ disastrous six-week premiership, which followed Johnson being forced out at the end of 2022, cemented the decline, and Sunak was unable to make any dent in Labour’s now commanding poll lead.

“We deserved to lose. The Conservative Party just appears exhausted and out of ideas,” Ed Costello, the chairman of the Grassroots Conservatives organization, which represents rank-and-file members, told Reuters.

“But it is not all Rishi Sunak’s fault. It is Boris Johnson and Liz Truss that have led the party to disaster. Rishi Sunak is just the fall guy.”

The predicted Labour result would not quite match the record levels achieved by the party under Tony Blair in 1997 and 2001 when the party captured 418 and 412 seats respectively.

“The electoral mountain that Labour have needed to climb is bigger than Tony Blair had to climb and he (Starmer) has climbed it with room to spare,” Peter Sloman, a professor of politics at the University of Cambridge, told Reuters.