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Times Of Israel
Times Of Israel
27 Nov 2024


NextImg:‘Peace is possible’: Announcing Lebanon truce, US insists this time will be different

US President Joe Biden announced on Tuesday that his administration succeeded in brokering a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah, in what will close a second front that the Iran-backed terror group had opened against Israel hours after Hamas’s October 7, 2023 onslaught.

“I applaud the courageous decision made by the leaders of Lebanon and Israel to end the violence. It reminds us that peace is possible,” Biden said in a hopeful speech from the White House Rose Garden in which he announced that the deal would come into place at 4 a.m. local time Wednesday morning.

Biden’s delivery of the news contrasted quite starkly with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s, as the premier sought to contend with criticism from much of his political base upset over an agreement that appears to leave Hezbollah able to hobble on after repeated blows by the IDF that intensified significantly over the past two months.

“If Hezbollah violates the agreement and tries to rearm, we will attack,” Netanyahu said sternly.

The deal was authorized by the vast majority of the security cabinet and the premier said it would allow Israel to focus more closely on the Iranian nuclear threat, allow the IDF to rejuvenate its forces, and isolate Hamas in what Jerusalem hopes will boost chances for a hostage deal in Gaza.

Still, it appeared to fall short of the “total victory” pledged for months by Netanyahu, with critics, led by mayors of Israel’s northern towns most impacted by the Hezbollah conflict, arguing that it doesn’t prevent the terror group from re-arming as it did after the Second Lebanon War in 2006.

That fighting too was brought to a close thanks to an internationally backed agreement. UN Security Council Resolution 1701 was supposed to see Hezbollah disarm and withdraw its forces beyond the Litani River, some 18 miles north of the Lebanon-Israel border known as the Blue Line. The UNIFIL observer force was established in order to ensure 1701’s enforcement, but ultimately, violations were never prosecuted.

Members of the UNIFIL peacekeeping force stand at the site of an Israeli strike at the northern entrance of the southern city of Sidon, on November 7, 2024. (Mahmoud Zayyat/AFP)

The Biden administration — through Biden’s Rose Garden speech followed by a subsequent briefing held by one of his senior aides involved in the negotiations — sought to explain why this time would be different.

“This is designed to be a permanent cessation of hostilities,” Biden stressed. “What is left of Hezbollah and other terrorist organizations will not be allowed to threaten the security of Israel again.”

Over the next 60 days, the Lebanese army and state security forces will deploy and take control of their own territory in southern Lebanon, Biden said, reiterating that Hezbollah will not be allowed to rebuild its terror infrastructure. During this 60-day period, Israel will gradually withdraw its troops from Lebanon.

Israeli troops will initially hold their positions at the start of the 60-day period commencing the ceasefire, the senior US official briefing reporters, explaining that Israel’s gradual withdrawal will only begin when soldiers from the Lebanese military begin being deployed in southern Lebanon, to ensure that no vacuums are created in the interim. “This is a process that cannot happen overnight or in several days.”

The senior US official clarified that this doesn’t mean the withdrawal will only begin after 60 days. “Rather, by the time we reach somewhere in the 50 to 60 days, all Israeli troops will be gone… In the first couple of weeks, you’ll already start seeing some of those [IDF] troops withdraw.”

During the 60-day period, the US official said that the Lebanese military would be authorized to verify that Hezbollah moves north of the Litani River. There is an agreed-upon map that details the exact lines to which Hezbollah is required to retreat and where specifically the Lebanese army will be deployed.

Lebanese troops will be tasked with patrolling southern Lebanon to ensure that any remaining Hezbollah infrastructure is removed and cannot be rebuilt, the senior US official said.

IDF troops operate at the Litani River in the eastern sector of southern Lebanon, in a handout image released on November 26, 2024. (Israel Defense Forces)

The ceasefire agreement will also see the US and France join an existing mechanism to monitor the deal’s implementation. Referred to date as the tripartite mechanism and consisting of representatives from Israel, Lebanon and the UNIFIL observer force, the panel failed to ensure the upholding of UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which had required Hezbollah to disarm and retreat north of the Litani River.

The president said the US, along with France, is committed to ensuring that the deal is fully implemented while stressing that this will not require any American troops on the ground.

The deal will allow the 60,000 Israeli civilians and roughly 30,000 Lebanese civilians to return to their homes and rebuild their communities on either side of the Blue Line.

Critically, Biden said “If Hezbollah or anyone else breaks the deal and poses a direct threat to Israel, Israel retains the right to self-defense, consistent with international law — just like any country when facing a terrorist group pledged to that country’s destruction.”

At the same time, Biden said the deal boosts Lebanon’s sovereignty, allowing the country to put itself on a “path toward a future that’s worthy of a significant past.”

Under the new deal, the US will become the chair of this enforcement mechanism, which will also be enhanced by France’s presence, the senior administration official said. The committee made up of diplomats and military personnel will be tasked with adjudicating complaints from either side regarding potential ceasefire violations.

The panel will also work to ensure that the Lebanese army is properly trained and equipped to ensure the ceasefire’s implementation, the US official said. While US combat troops will not be on the ground, “there will be [US] military support for the Lebanese Armed Forces,” the official added.

There will be a separate committee called the Military Technical Committee (MTC) made up of additional countries who will provide additional financial support, equipment and training to the LAF, the US official said.

A fireball erupts from the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the area of Tayouneh in Beirut’s southern suburbs on November 25, 2024. (AFP)

Unlike the 2006 ceasefire deal between Israel and Hezbollah when the international community “abandoned the scene” after it was reached, “here we remain committed to being on the ground, day to day, watching what’s happening,” the US official said.

The international community is determined to “learn from the mistakes of the past, when Hezbollah was the only organization” involved in the reconstruction of Lebanon. “It is in our interests… to support economic growth” in Lebanon, said the senior official.

The US official also stressed that Hezbollah is “extremely weak at this moment — both militarily and politically,” which presents an opportunity for the Lebanese government to re-establish its sovereignty, particularly by appointing a president — something that Hezbollah blocked for years.

The deal announced today is not “offering Israel a temporary security guarantee, rather a durable ceasefire that [it] can trust,” the senior US official said.

Asked repeatedly to elaborate on the ceasefire’s enforcement mechanism, given reports claiming that the US has provided Israel with guarantees allowing it to immediately strike Lebanon upon alleged Hezbollah violations, the senior US official declined to do so.

Instead, the US official highlighted the now-US-led enforcement committee, which he said will not be a “mailbox” like it was in the years following the Second Lebanon War. Instead, it will operate as a “live messaging service, making sure that whenever there is a view of a violation — specifically a serious violation — it is addressed immediately.”

Biden in his Rose Garden speech highlighted how Hezbollah was the party that started the conflict against Israel hours after Hamas’s October 7 terror onslaught.

“Israel did not launch this war. The Lebanese people did not seek that war either,” Biden said in remarks at the Rose Garden, lamenting how Hezbollah’s cross-border attacks have forced 60,000 Israelis to flee their homes in the north in addition to 30,000 Lebanese people who have similarly evacuated their country’s south as a result of IDF strikes.

Israeli army forces stand outside a house that was hit by rockets fired by Hezbollah from Lebanon in the northern border town of Kiryat Shmona on November 26, 2024. (Photo by Jalaa MAREY / AFP)

He detailed US security assistance for Israel against Iran and its proxies over the past 14 months before going through the extent of the losses incurred by Hezbollah as a result of its decision to join the conflict against Israel — its longtime secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah was killed along with countless other senior leaders and major military infrastructure was destroyed.

Just about until his killing, Nasrallah maintained a policy that rejected any ceasefire in Lebanon before one was reached in Gaza. Then came a massive intensification of the IDF’s operations against Hezbollah in September, and the terror group agreed to begin discussions on a ceasefire that would officially detach their fighting from the ongoing conflict in Gaza.

While acknowledging Israel’s military gains, Biden insisted that “lasting security for the people of Israel and Lebanon cannot be achieved only on the battlefield.”

Biden said Tuesday that Palestinians in Gaza deserve a similar end to conflict that will soon be enjoyed by those living along the Blue Line.

“The people of Gaza have been through hell, their worlds absolutely shattered, far too many civilians in Gaza have suffered far too much,” Biden said.

While hinting at criticism of Israel in that remark, the president was explicit in his blaming of Hamas for refusing to negotiate in good faith for months.

US President Joe Biden crosses his fingers as he answers a question about a Gaza ceasefire after speaking in the Rose Garden of the White House on November 26, 2024, in Washington. (Saul Loeb/AFP)

“Now, Hamas has a choice to make. Their only way out is to release the hostages, including American citizens,” Biden said, adding the deal the US is promoting would allow for a surge of humanitarian aid into Gaza and result in an “end of the war without Hamas in power.”

Biden said the US, Egypt, Qatar — and now Turkey as well — will make another push for a ceasefire in Gaza.

The senior US official briefing reporters clarified that the Biden administration does not view Turkey as a new mediator between Israel and Hamas.

“What the President meant is that we have certain individuals and parties are now spending time in Turkey, and so [Turkey] was added. But it was not to suggest that they are a broker or a negotiator. It’s to say that we will leave no stone unturned in trying to do this,” said the senior US official.

The US revealed earlier this month that it had asked Qatar to oust Hamas leaders from the country in late October due to the terror group’s extended refusal to engage in hostage negotiations. Those Hamas officials then moved to Turkey. While the US has cautioned Ankara against hosting Hamas leaders, it has stopped short of requesting the extradition of Khaled Meshaal, who is under US indictment.

Arab officials speaking to The Times of Israel last week called into question the decision to oust Hamas from Qatar if negotiations were just going to continue under largely the same format in Ankara.

The senior US official briefing reporters maintained that Hamas’s realization following today’s news that “Hezbollah has decided to abandon them and delink the two conflicts” amounts to a powerful change of reality on the ground, and we have to see if that’s enough” to spark a breakthrough in hostage talks.

The Lebanon ceasefire moves the Biden administration closer to its vision for a more integrated Middle East — one that includes the establishment of a demilitarized Palestinian state alongside Israel, the president said.

To that end, Biden said the US remains prepared to broker a normalization agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia, which would include “a credible pathway for establishing a Palestinian state.”

Israel has repeatedly rejected the two-state framework, and a pair of US lawmakers told The Times of Israel months ago that the window to secure a deal before the end of Biden’s term in office has closed.

Nonetheless, Biden said, “I believe this agenda remains possible. In my remaining time in office, I will work tirelessly to advance this vision.”

He acknowledged that a Saudi normalization deal will require Israel to make “hard choices.”

“Now, Israel must be bold in turning tactical gains against Iran and his proxies into a coherent strategy that secures Israel’s long-term safety and advances of broader peace and prosperity in the region,” Biden says, in an apparent shot at Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who for months refused to plan at all for the post-war management of Gaza, while rejecting the involvement of a reformed Palestinian Authority, even though it would unlock much-needed support from Israel’s Arab neighbors for the post-war reconstruction and management of Gaza.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, right, welcomes US President Joe Biden to Al-Salam Palace in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, July 15, 2022. (Bandar Aljaloud/Saudi Royal Palace via AP, File)

Asked to explain Biden’s optimism about a potential Israel-Saudi normalization agreement following the announcement of a ceasefire in Lebanon, the senior administration official told reporters that conversations US officials have held in the past 24 hours left them with the belief that there “is a window of opportunity here — if we can get some changes in Gaza.”

“The political and geopolitical stars of both are aligned, and we’re going to see what we can do over the next 50 or so days,” the US official said, insisting that Washington is clear-eyed about its prospects and will keep the incoming administration informed on its efforts.

The senior administration official was then asked why he’s able to maintain this optimistic assessment given repeated assertions by Israeli cabinet members that they will never accept the establishment of a Palestinian state, which is Riyadh’s condition for a deal with Israel.

Reflecting on his career in high-stakes negotiations, the official said he has repeatedly heard leaders enter them with declarations that include words such as “never” and “always.”

“They’ll say ‘We will never do this, and ‘We will always insist on that,’ but that doesn’t necessarily hold, because when you have that kind of a position you don’t reach an agreement, so I don’t get too excited when I hear those kinds of statements,” he said.

Another US official speaking to The Times of Israel fiercely denied Netanyahu’s claim earlier Tuesday that Washington has been delaying weapon shipments to Israel.

“It is no secret: there have been major delays in the supply of weapons and ammunition. This delay is about to be released soon,” Netanyahu said — this time without naming the Biden administration.

“Other than the shipment of 2,000-pound bombs, there is no policy delay or hold on anything. There’s just not,” a US official said in response.

Hebrew media reports in recent days have quoted unnamed Netanyahu associates claiming that the Biden administration pledged to release withheld weapon shipments in exchange for Israel agreeing to a ceasefire in Lebanon. Other aides to the premier have highlighted that the return of Donald Trump to the White House will also ensure an end to the delay of weapon shipments, which has repeatedly been denied by the US.

The Biden administration insists that it has only withheld one shipment of high payload bombs since May over concern that Israel would use them in densely populated areas, leading to the deaths of large numbers of civilians.

The senior administration official separately said that claims that Israel will receive additional weapons from the US as a result of agreeing to the Lebanon ceasefire were false. Moreover, claims by Netanyahu’s office that the US had threatened to advance a UN Security Council resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire if Israel rejected the US-brokered deal were also false.

“Literally the topic never came up,” the senior US official said.

Asked about reports of Russian involvement in ensuring that Iran can’t replenish Hezbollah’s weapon supply through Syria as it has in the past, the senior US official declined to respond in detail. “There is no doubt that what we all must focus on is making sure that Iran does not continue to use Syria as a highway of weapons into Lebanon.”

Days before the US presidential election, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asked US special envoy for Lebanon Amos Hochstein to come meet him in Jerusalem where the premier told the Biden aide that there was a window to secure a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, said the senior US official.

Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer, a Netanyahu confidant, reportedly told Trump aides that Israel wanted to secure a ceasefire with Hezbollah as a “gift” to the president-elect before he enters office on January 20, though Israeli officials have denied as much.

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant (2R) and Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer (R) meet with top White House Middle East advisers Brett McGurk and Amos Hochstein, alongside their teams, in Jerusalem, October 31, 2024. (Ma’ayan Toaf/GPO)

In their meeting earlier this month, Hochstein told Netanyahu that if both sides were serious, he was prepared to launch another round of intensive negotiations over the coming weeks. Netanyahu agreed, the US official recalls.

Once the sides began to make progress, Hochstein briefed members of the Trump transition’s national security team on the broad tenants of the deal, telling them that there was an increasing likelihood that a ceasefire would be reached, the US official said.

Hochstein conducted a follow-up call with Trump’s aides in the last 24 to 48 hours as the deal was being finalized, and the president-elect’s team seemed supportive of the effort, the senior US official added.