Voter expectation of a Tory victory at the next general election has fallen to its lowest level since November last year, according to a new poll. 

A Redfield & Wilton Strategies survey conducted on July 2 found 48 per cent of voters expect the next election to result in a Labour government. 

Some 35 per cent said they believe a Labour majority government would be the most likely outcome if a general election were to be held in the next six months and a further 13 per cent picked a Labour-led minority administration. 

Just 23 per cent of voters said a Tory government was the most likely outcome, with 14 per cent expecting a Tory majority and nine per cent expecting a Conservative-led minority government. 

The 23 per cent Conservative figure was down by eight points when compared to the previous poll on June 25. 

It is the lowest Tory score since the same score was recorded in a poll conducted on November 6 last year, just after Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister. 

The numbers are likely to trigger alarm bells among Tory MPs who are hoping Mr Sunak can turnaround the party’s polling fortunes ahead of the next national contest against Labour. 

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