Mark Carney’s poll lead in Canada’s election race has narrowed to just two points, hours before voters cast their ballots on Monday.

In a campaign dominated by Donald Trump’s threats to annex the country, the Liberal prime minister began the month six points ahead of Conservative populist Pierre Poilievre, who is seen as sympathetic to the US president.

However, a poll by Abacus Data published on Sunday, found that the Liberals were on 41 per cent of the vote compared with 39 per cent for Conservatives.

The final day of campaigning was overshadowed by tragedy when 11 people were killed when a man drove a car into a crowd at a Filipino community festival in Vancouver.

Mr Carney condemned the attack and announced he was cancelling two rallies.

Mr Poilievre said: “My thoughts today are with the families of the victims and the entire Filipino community across Canada.”

Mr Carney remains the favourite to be returned as prime minister after promising to push back against Mr Trump’s threats to make Canada the 51st state of America.

At one point, Mr Carney was 20 points ahead of his rival, whose decision to lean into comparisons with the American president backfired.

The narrow lead is still probably enough for a majority, with Liberal support focused on key Ontario and Quebec battlegrounds.