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The Telegraph
The Telegraph
22 Mar 2023


The Office of National Statistics has revealed its latest inflation data
The Office of National Statistics has revealed its latest inflation data Credit: Jose Sarmento Matos/Bloomberg

Inflation unexpectedly increased for the first time in four months increasing pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates, even amid the recent banking turmoil.

The consumer price index rose to 10.4pc in February, up from 10.1pc in July although it is still down from a 41-year high of 11.1pc in October, according to the Office for National Statistics.

The rising cost of food and drinks, clothing and footwear as well as restaurants and hotels were the main factors blamed for the increase.

It comes as central banks face pressure to slow down the pace of interest rate rises which contributed to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank before the shotgun takeover of Credit Suisse.

Rising interest rates tend to lower the value of bonds. SVB was forced to sell $1.8bn of bonds at a loss, triggering what US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has described as “contagious bank runs”.

The US Federal Reserve will reveal its next interest rate decision this evening, while the Bank of England will announce its next move on Thursday.

Read the latest updates below.

Rising price of food and restaurants behind increasing inflation

The increase in the annual inflation rate was mainly due to price rises in the restaurants and hotels, food and non-alcoholic beverages, and clothing and footwear divisions. 

The rising costs of goods leaving factories and of raw materials were also reasons for the unexpected increase in inflation last month.

Economists had forecasted that inflation would fall to 9.9pc in February.

Good morning

Inflation has increased to 10.4pc, handing a blow to the Bank of England ahead of its decision on the next move for interest rates tomorrow.

Policymakers have faced calls from analysts to slow the pace of interest rate rises to ease the pressure on the global banking system.

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5) Second-hand electric car prices fall as demand dwindles | Glut of stock hits the market as drivers trade their used cars in

What happened overnight 

Asian shares staged a cautious bounce on Wednesday with hopes a global banking crisis would be averted vying with uncertainty over the outlook for US interest rates.

Unease left both S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures barely changed. EUROSTOXX 50 futures edged up 0.2pc, while FTSE futures climbed 0.1pc.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan gained 0.9pc, with Chinese blue chips up 0.3pc. Japan's Nikkei firmed 1.6pc led by a rebound in beaten-down bank stocks.

Stocks rose in Australia and futures for benchmarks in Japan and Hong Kong advanced. Australian and New Zealand government bond yields rose, tracking the action in the Treasury market on Tuesday. 

Shares in US lenders rebounded as fears of a global banking crisis eased, lifting Wall Street's main equity indexes ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly-anticipated interest rate decision. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 316 points or 0.98pc to 32,560.60. The S&P 500 jumped 1.3pc to 4,002.87, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.58pc to 11,860.11.

Extreme volatility in short term government bonds dragged into the nine consecutive day, with traders betting on another 25 basis-point interest rate hike. The policy sensitive two-year Treasury yield surged as much as 21 basis points to 4.18pc.

On the other side of the Atlantic, the FTSE 100 index closed 1.79pc higher at 7,536.22, marking its best performance in over four months. The exporter-heavy index was boosted by a week pound, alongside a rally on bank stocks which surged 3.34pc across the FTSE 350.