The risk of a large-scale war in Europe within the next five years is now real. Within approximately two years, Russia could pose “a credible threat” to one or more Nato countries if the Alliance does not strengthen its defences. That’s the view of Danish Defence Intelligence last week; one already been made by the German, Polish, and Lithuanian intelligence services.
The US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth in his first remarks at the NATO HQ this week called on Europe to take the lead on their defence, emphasising that the US can no longer provide security guarantees for the continent.
It is clear that the threat to Europe is credible. But where does the continent stand today in response to such a high level of alert? How is it adjusting – or rather, coping – with the new Trump administration?
Traditionalist foreign policy observers often note that Trump is undermining the liberal world order, which the United States itself has established and sponsored for several decades. This is of course true, but they fail to consider the other side of the coin and conjunction of multiple factors in the trajectory of modern history.
The risk of a large-scale war in Europe within the next five years is now real. Within approximately two years, Russia could pose “a credible threat” to one or more Nato countries if the Alliance does not strengthen its defences. That’s the view of Danish Defence Intelligence last week; one already been made by the German, Polish, and Lithuanian intelligence services.
The US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth in his first remarks at the NATO HQ this week called on Europe to take the lead on their defence, emphasising that the US can no longer provide security guarantees for the continent.
It is clear that the threat to Europe is credible. But where does the continent stand today in response to such a high level of alert? How is it adjusting – or rather, coping – with the new Trump administration?
Traditionalist foreign policy observers often note that Trump is undermining the liberal world order, which the United States itself has established and sponsored for several decades. This is of course true, but they fail to consider the other side of the coin and conjunction of multiple factors in the trajectory of modern history.