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Aug 7, 2025  |  
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Julia Manchester


NextImg:Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in Virginia: DDHQ average

Former Virginia Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) leads Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears (R) in the state’s gubernatorial race, according to the latest polling average from Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ). 

Spanberger leads with an average of 45.2 percent support, while Earle-Sears trails with an average of 36 percent support. The latest averages remain unchanged from last month. 

The most recent poll of the governor’s race released last month by the Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs at Virginia Commonwealth University showed Spanberger leading Earle-Sears with 49 percent support to the lieutenant governor’s 37 percent among registered voters in the state.

According to Decision Desk HQ, Earle-Sears has not led in a single poll this year. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the race as “lean Democratic.” 

Virginia Republicans have raised red flags about their chances in the state’s gubernatorial race, pointing to Earle-Sears significantly trailing Spanberger in fundraising and polls.

Last month, Spanberger also reported a massive second-quarter fundraising haul of $10.7 million. Earle-Sears’s campaign announced that Thursday marked its “best single fundraising day” since its launch in September, but it did not publicly disclose how much it had raised.

According to the latest campaign finance data from the Virginia Public Access Project, Spanberger has raised $27 million since she jumped into the race in November 2023 and has more than $15 million in the bank. Earle-Sears has raised more than $11 million since launching her campaign and has more than $4 million cash on hand.