A new hypothetical poll of Michigan’s upcoming Senate race finds that Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.) is the only Democrat leading Republican candidate Mike Rogers in a head-to-head matchup among registered voters.
The survey, which was conducted by the Glengariff Group and the Detroit Regional Chamber, shows Stevens leading Rogers by just over 1 point, 45.2 percent to 43.8 percent.
Democratic state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (D) trailed Rogers 45.9 percent to 41.6 percent, while doctor and former gubernatorial candidate Abdul El-Sayed came in nearly 7 points behind Rogers at 46.9 percent to 40.1 percent.
However, among respondents who were identified as “definite” voters, Stevens expanded her lead over Rogers by 6 points and McMorrow led Rogers by just over 1 point. El-Sayed narrowed his gap with Rogers among definite voters, trailing the Republican by 1.9 points.
Michigan’s Senate race is set to be one of the most closely watched of the midterms. The general election for the seat is considered a toss-up, and the Democratic primary is gearing up to be a competitive intraparty contest.
The same Glengariff Group/Detroit Regional Chamber poll showed Stevens leading the Democratic primary pack at 34.3 percent among registered voters, while El-Sayed received 22.2 percent support. McMorrow came in at 13.7 percent and 29.8 percent said they were undecided.
Rogers is considered the GOP favorite, having shored up endorsements from National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair (NRSC) Tim Scott (R-S.C.) and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.). Rogers narrowly lost his Senate bid last year to Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) by only 19,000 votes.
However, Michigan Rep. Bill Huizenga (R ) is mulling jumping into the race.
According to the poll, Rogers leads Huizenga 61.3 percent to 16.5 percent in a hypothetical matchup, and 22.4 percent said they were undecided.
The Glengariff Group/Detroit Regional Chamber poll was conducted May 5 through May 8, \among 600 registered voters with a plus or minus 4.0 margin of error.