


Will Donald Trump’s bros turn out?
A strategy of courting occasional voters is risky because they are occasional voters
Home to a university, Madison is a left-leaning city in a swing state. But if you happened to find yourself at the Kollege Klub on a recent Saturday night, where Sean Paul’s “Get Busy” instructed patrons to shake that thing, you would not know it. A man lobbed MAGA hats into a crowd of rapt frat bros. Presiding were the Nelk Boys, a group of supremely popular YouTubers who film inane pranks. They are fans of Donald Trump and have had him on their podcast three times. This was a party to gin up the vote. Yet voting felt like a concept of a plan compared with downing vodka Red Bulls and shimmying to Swedish House Mafia.
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What are the odds of an upset in Texas or Florida?
Beating unpopular senators in Trump country may be Democrats’ only shot at holding the Senate

Why Kamala Harris’s chances of victory just jumped
Our forecast now puts her level with Donald Trump

Could a mechanic in Nebraska determine control of the Senate?
Dan Osborn is challenging Republicans for the state’s working-class vote
How wrong could America’s pollsters be?
Gamblers are a lot more confident that Donald Trump will win
War is not the only reason some Muslims are ditching the Democrats
In Michigan, where Kamala Harris leads by less than a percentage point, it could be the difference
Donald Trump returns to New York for a bombastic closing pitch
And finds adulation in his hometown