


Where is Kamala Harris’s convention bounce?
And what its absence means for election forecasting
National conventions are among the biggest spectacles of the presidential campaign. What was once a formal exercise to adopt a policy platform and nominate candidates is now a political variety show. Tightly choreographed, each party performs an all-singing, all-dancing televised audition to the nation, culminating in a curtain call and balloon drop. While this might look out of place in an era of political cynicism, millions of voters watch and reward the garish performances in opinion polls. After Bill Clinton, then governor of Arkansas, took to the stage in 1992, for example, voters were so impressed that his poll numbers leapt eight percentage points, putting him on course for victory.
Explore more
This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Eeyore’s balloon”

The Harris campaign hopes North Carolina will finally deliver
Democrats reliably win statewide in local races, but fail in presidential votes. Will this time be different?

America’s endless summers are good for mosquitoes, too
Outbreaks of EEE and West Nile virus have health officials on the alert

America’s endless summers are good for mosquitoes, too
Outbreaks of EEE and West Nile virus have health officials on the alert
Why Kamala Harris has the advantage in debating Donald Trump
She’s better at it
The Trump campaign unleashes a barrage of negative advertisements
It could well work
The Onion’s cutting edge: paper
A new era dawns for America’s self-declared finest news source