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The Economist
The Economist
5 Nov 2024


NextImg:Three reasons why Donald Trump might outperform the polls
United States | Predicting it

Three reasons why Donald Trump might outperform the polls

And three counter-arguments in Kamala Harris’s favour

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign rally

Kamala Harris moves ahead—just—in our final election forecast

Despite some rosy polls for Ms Harris, either candidate may yet win decisively

A Polymarket advertisement in the Brooklyn

Financial markets are betting on a Trump victory

Harris’s odds have perked up but she is still the underdog


Close up of Chicago police officers.

The risk of election violence in America is real

But talk of civil war is overblown nonsense


US House of Representatives elections: live results

Updating results and analysis of the race for the chamber

US Senate elections: live results

Updating results and analysis of the race for the chamber

Live results of the US presidential election

Updating results and analysis of the race for the White House