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The Economist
The Economist
11 Sep 2024


NextImg:The systemic bias Kamala Harris must overcome in order to win
United States | Campaign calculus

The systemic bias Kamala Harris must overcome in order to win

The electoral college, not the popular vote, decides who becomes president

It is a common cliché in films: a character flicks through TV channels, seeing the same news story again and again. Pennsylvanians may feel as if their TV sets are mimicking the movies. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are pouring money into the state. The two campaigns have splurged $189m on advertising there since March, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, compared with $105m Michigan, the second-highest spend. The people of Pennsylvania can blame the bombardment on the electoral college, which means that the leader of 330m Americans is chosen by a few thousand voters in swing states.

Kamala Harris makes Donald Trump look out of his depth

The presidential debate was a success for the vice-president

Astrologers are predicting the result of America’s election

Spreading their forecasts through social media can be lucrative—and divisive


How Boston became the safest big city in America

Murder is declining across the country, but Boston has led the way


Where is Kamala Harris’s convention bounce?

And what its absence means for election forecasting