FOR A MAN described as an English nationalist, Nigel Farage is doing rather well in Scotland. He may confess no connection to the country other than a love of golf and angling. He may be the father of Brexit, whereas Scotland voted heavily to remain in the EU. But Reform UK, his party, now polls second in Scotland, on 25% (it is first, on 30%, in Britain at large). It won a chunky third place in a by-election in Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse, near Glasgow, on June 5th; were those swings repeated in the Scottish Parliament elections next May, Reform would be the biggest opposition party, reckons Sir John Curtice, a psephologist. If Mr Farage makes it to Downing Street, Scotland will have helped him.