


Putting the “October surprise” in American elections in perspective
The idea has been bigger than the reality
IN OCTOBER OF a presidential-election year, observers of American politics give the expression “expect the unexpected” new meaning. With a month to go, and early voting under way, nerves begin to fray. Poll-watchers and pundits brace for the story that will upend the contest. Excitement about an “October surprise” mounts. And yet the phenomenon is usually a damp squib.

Donald Trump is preparing an assault on America’s immigration system
The divide between the two candidates on migration is stark, but it has narrowed

What America’s presidential election means for taxes
The second in our series of policy briefs

The Supreme Court begins another contentious term
Guns, vapes, online porn and health care for transgender youth dot the docket
What America’s presidential election means for world trade
The first in a series of eight concise briefs on the consequences of the 2024 election
Checks and Balance newsletter: gender politics in the election
Both parties are telling very different stories about gender
Many Americans can decide their own policies. What will they choose?
Three issues will dominate state ballot measures in November