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The Economist
The Economist
5 Nov 2024


NextImg:Financial markets are betting on a Trump victory
United States | Follow the real money

Financial markets are betting on a Trump victory

Harris’s odds have perked up but she is still the underdog

THE FINAL election polls have been published, and in-person voting has yet to conclude. It is an anxious period, with little new information to parse about who might emerge victorious as America’s next president. But that is not stopping investors from placing, and adjusting, their bets. From prediction markets to bonds, they have more ways than ever to register their views about the likely outcome of the election. Most of their money is on Donald Trump, though his perceived lead over Kamala Harris has narrowed in the past few days.

Close up of Chicago police officers.

The risk of election violence in America is real

But talk of civil war is overblown nonsense

US House of Representatives elections: live results

Updating results and analysis of the race for the chamber


US Senate elections: live results

Updating results and analysis of the race for the chamber


Live results of the US presidential election

Updating results and analysis of the race for the White House