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The Economist
The Economist
3 Nov 2024


NextImg:A much-watched poll from Iowa points to a Harris landslide
United States | Iowave

A much-watched poll from Iowa points to a Harris landslide

It is probably a fluke

AS THE ELECTION approaches its climax, dozens of opinion polls of American voters are churned out each day. None is so eagerly awaited as the final Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of Iowa, produced by Selzer & Co, a polling firm. On “Election Twitter”—the colloquial name for a community of political-data junkies on X—this particular poll has taken on a legendary status. On the evening of November 2nd, it showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in Iowa, sending Election Twitter into a frenzy. Why?

US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign rally at the Craig Ranch Amphitheater in Las Vegas, Nevada.

How to win Nevada

There is a formula to winning the Silver State. Can Democrats crack it again?

Former U.S. first lady Michelle Obama speaks during a campaign event for Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris at Wings Event Center in Kalamazoo, Michigan, USA.

Checks and Balance newsletter: Michelle Obama spotlights reproductive rights and women’s role in America

The contrast with Donald Trump’s macho campaign could not be more stark


Portrait of Dan Osborn standing in a corn field.

Dan Osborn shows some Democratic ideas can outperform the party

A white, working-class independent, he threatens the Republican dominance of Nebraska’s politics


What happens in the days after America’s election

If the vote is contested, the battle will play out initially at the county level

Election lawsuits are flooding America’s courts

Donald Trump is mostly losing them—but his strategy invites havoc