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The Economist
The Economist
30 Jun 2024


NextImg:A crushing humiliation for Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance
Europe | France’s political earthquake

A crushing humiliation for Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance

A massive turnout for Le Pen’s hard right makes clear the president’s gamble backfired spectacularly

|PARIS

A DRAMATIC NEW era began in France on Sunday June 30th when Marine Le Pen’s hard-right party took a massive lead in first-round voting for the lower house of parliament. Her National Rally (RN) has never been so close to governing France. Early results suggested that the party had secured 34% of the vote, according to Ipsos, a polling group. Ahead of a final run-off vote on July 7th, this puts it on course to win 230-280 seats in the 577-seat National Assembly, up from 88, and become easily the biggest group in parliament. A result at the upper end of that range would put them in touching distance of an overall majority of 289.

The poll was marked by the highest first-round turnout since 1997. Candidates from the RN came top in hundreds of constituencies across the country: in its old geographical heartlands of the north-eastern rustbelt and the south of France, as well as places with little history of support, such as Brittany. In her own constituency around Hénin-Beaumont, in the mining basin of northern France, Ms Le Pen was elected outright in the first round.

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France heads to the polls in a critical parliamentary vote

Marine Le Pen’s hard-right party is expecting a massive surge

Emmanuel Macron’s centrists are facing a disastrous first-round vote

Marine Le Pen’s party will be the main beneficiary


European gangs are getting better at making their own illegal drugs

The faster the police crack down, the faster they adapt to new methods