Federal Reserve officials raised interest rates today to their highest level in 22 years, pressing on with a campaign to bring inflation down by cooling the American economy. The hike was widely expected.

The real question now is: What comes next?

Inflation has dropped significantly since its peak last summer, the labor market has remained unexpectedly resilient and the broader economy has so far avoided the kind of rapid slowdown that some had feared. Still, some economists are worried that the Fed could cause a recession and question whether it is time to stop raising borrowing rates.

But at a news conference this afternoon, Fed chair Jerome Powell remained entirely noncommittal about another rate hike, saying that policymakers were open to more increases, including in September. He also said they were open to a pause.

“Powell tried to make it very clear that he did not want to let us know what they’re leaning toward,” my colleague Jeanna Smialek, our in-house Fed expert, told me. “But at least at the moment, the Fed is feeling better about inflation.”

Fed officials, who have emphasized that inflation is still too high for their comfort, have recently become slightly more optimistic about the outlook. They upgraded their assessment of growth from “modest” to “moderate,” and Powell said that the Fed’s economists no longer expect a recession later this year — which surprised Jeanna.

“It means that the economists who advise the Fed think that they may be able to pull off this sort of magical soft landing scenario,” Jeanna said.

Ukraine’s counteroffensive goes into full swing

Two U.S. officials said that the main thrust of Ukraine’s counteroffensive was now underway in the southeastern Zaporizhzhia region. The Russian Defense Ministry also reported a “massive” assault in the area.

“This is the big test,” one senior American official said.

Thousands of reinforcements are pouring into the battle, after nearly two months of halting fighting, as Ukraine tries to break Russia’s grip on the south. Ukraine seems to be bringing in troops who were, until now, held in reserve. Many were trained and equipped by the West, a Russian-appointed official said. The official tallied about 100 armored vehicles, including German-made Leopards and U.S.-made Bradleys.

A judge delayed Hunter Biden’s plea deal

Hunter Biden, the president’s son and the target of long-running Republican efforts to cast the first family as corrupt, appeared in court in Delaware today to plead guilty to two misdemeanor tax charges and accept a deal that would allow him to avoid prosecution on a gun charge. But that agreement hit an unexpected last-minute snag.

The federal judge overseeing the case, Maryellen Noreika, decided to delay her approval of the deal. Judge Noreika, a Trump nominee, asked that both sides agree to insert language in the agreement limiting the scope of immunity it would grant Biden. His lawyers estimated it would take two weeks to hammer out the changes she requested.

Israel’s high court will review the judicial overhaul

Israel’s Supreme Court announced today that it would review a contentious new law that diminishes the court’s own role, setting the stage for a constitutional crisis. However, it did not issue an injunction barring the law from going into effect, as some critics had hoped.

The court will hear arguments in September. At that point, it must decide whether to reassert its dominance over Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government, or accept the move to reduce its own power.

More top news

• Court: Rudolph Giuliani admitted that he made false statements in claiming two Georgia election workers mishandled ballots during the 2020 election.

• International: Prime Minister Hun Sen, Cambodia’s long-serving leader, said he would resign next month and hand power to his son.

• Weather: The Southwest will bake in record heat a bit longer this week as a sweltering hot air mass returns to the East.

• E.V.s: Seven major automakers said they would nearly double the number of fast electric vehicle chargers in the U.S.

• New York: A construction crane atop a high-rise building in Midtown Manhattan burst into flames and partly collapsed, injuring 11 people.

• West Africa: Soldiers from the presidential guard in Niger barricaded the president in his palace in an apparent mutiny.

• Britain: The actor Kevin Spacey was found not guilty of nine counts of sexual assault.

• Women’s World Cup: The U.S. will take on the Netherlands tonight at 9 o’clock Eastern. It’s a rematch of the 2019 final.

EVENING WIND DOWN

Remembering Sinead O’Connor

The Irish singer-songwriter, who died at age 56, was best known for her strong, evocative voice. She broke out with her 1990 rendition of Prince’s “Nothing Compares 2 U” and then caused an uproar two years later by ripping up a photo of Pope John Paul II on “Saturday Night Live.”

O’Connor released 10 studio albums, reaching superstardom with the 1990 album “I Do Not Want What I Haven’t Got.” She rarely shrank from controversy, was outspoken about her political and social views, and, later in her career, was open about her struggles with mental health. “I’m not a pop star,” she wrote in her memoir, “I’m just a troubled soul who needs to scream into mikes now and then.”

Hacks and how-tos for travel

Traveling can be exciting, fulfilling and even life-changing. But planning travel is often stressful, confusing and overwhelming. What should you pack? Is it worth finding a travel partner? How can you save a trip threatened by a cancellation?

Luckily, my colleagues have done the work so you don’t have to. In the new Travel 101 series, we will collect all of the best travel tips and expert advice. One of the first installments tells you how to travel with friends without destroying your friendship. One tip: Be conscious of your friends’ relationship to each other, not just to you.

Dinner table topics

• Seniors on ice: The skating is slow for these players, many in their 80s, but they plan to play hockey until they go to that big locker room in the sky.

• The right to trespass: A group of English activists wants to legally enshrine the “right to roam,” challenging the sacredness of private property.

• Miami English: A linguistics professor found that Miamians who aren’t fluent in Spanish use phrases that are direct translations, such as, ”Get down from the car ” (bajarse del carro).

• More about “Barbie”: The visually dazzling Barbie Dreamhouses designed in rich detail for the movie set required months of existential pondering.

WHAT TO DO TONIGHT

Cook: The roots of this hummus recipe date back at least as far as the 13th century.

Watch: The thrilling yet thoughtful sci-fi movie “Annihilation” is streaming on Netflix.

Read: Some extraordinary literature has come out of Maine. Here’s a list of recommended books.

Enlighten: Marketers often use scientific-sounding buzzwords to sell products. Don’t fall for them.

Plant: Replacing your lawn? Consider starting a homegrown food forest.

Freshen up: There are hand fans on the market for every taste.

Play: Here are today’s Spelling Bee, Wordle and Mini Crossword.

ONE LAST THING

In this quest, the weiner takes it all

This month, my colleague Nikita Richardson drove to Staten Island to pick up a hot dog from Skippy’s, a family-owned truck that has been serving chili- and onion-topped dogs for decades. It was exactly what she was craving, but her trip proved unsuccessful.

That’s because Skippy’s — and its operator, Dawn LaVigne — can be challenging to track down. LaVigne doesn’t work when it’s raining or too hot, and she relies on word of mouth alone to spread awareness about when and where exactly the truck is open for business. Luckily, Nikita knew someone who could track down the truck, and she finally secured a delicious Skippy’s hot dog after a week of searching.

Have a dogged evening.

Thanks for reading. I’ll be back tomorrow. — Matthew

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