Nathan Eovaldi has arguably been the most unhittable pitcher in baseball this season. 

The ex-Yankees right hander has the sixth-lowest batting average allowed (.194) and fewest home runs allowed per nine innings among pitchers with at least 100 innings thrown in 2025. 

Although he dealt with triceps tightness earlier this summer, Eovaldi heads into Tuesday night’s start against his former team in Arlington looking as good as he has all season. 

Eovaldi won the American League Pitcher of the Month in July, posting a 0.59 ERA with just 21 hits allowed and 30 strikeouts over 30 ⅔ innings, dropping his ERA on the season to 1.49.

He dominated the Yankees in a losing effort on May 22, holding them to just one earned run and five hits over six innings with six strikeouts and a walk. 

Aaron Judge, Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Volpe, Cody Bellinger and Jasson Dominguez went a combined 2-for-14 (.142) with six strikeouts that day against Eovaldi. 

The only run was thanks to a solo shot off the bat of Jorbit Vivas, who isn’t even on the Bombers’ roster anymore. 

The Yankees’ lineup will get a boost with Judge’s return Tuesday, but the slugger might not be enough to counter the red-hot Eovaldi. 

I’m betting Eovaldi will allow Under 2.5 earned runs.

He’s gone Over this number just twice in 18 starts this season, and only once Over his last 15 outings. 

The play: Nathan Eovaldi Under 2.5 earned runs (-150, FanDuel Sportsbook)

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.