Marcus Stroman can’t stop giving up hits. 

Through four starts in 2025, the Yankees right-hander has struggled keeping runners from scoring, posting an 8.16 ERA. 

While he’s walked more batters and allowed more home runs than usual, Stroman’s tendency to allow hits of all kinds is perhaps the most troubling for him going forward. 

Last season, Stroman allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings, which would’ve been the third-most among qualified MLB pitchers if he tossed eight more innings on the year. 

It hasn’t gotten any better during his second year in the Bronx. 

Stroman is once again allowing more hits than innings pitched (9.4 per nine innings) while also striking out hitters at a career-low rate (five per nine innings). 

He looked better in his return from knee inflammation last time out, allowing three hits over five innings against the Athletics, but he may have been a bit lucky. 

Stroman struck out just one batter in that outing, allowing a .133 batting average on balls in play, which is far from a sustainable number. 

The ex-Met is expected to take the mound for the Bombers in Game 1 of the Subway Series in Queens, giving the struggling Amazin’s a good chance to get back on track offensively. 

I’m targeting Juan Soto’s total bases prop, specifically, against Stroman. 

The Mets slugger has had some success against Stroman in limited chances, going 3-for-10 with a double and a home run in 14 plate appearances.

The play: Juan Soto to have more than 1.5 total bases

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.