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NY Post
New York Post
10 Apr 2024


NextImg:Yankees vs. Marlins prediction: MLB odds, picks, best bets Wednesday

Miami Marlins starting pitchers have been scared off like rabbits to start ball games in the infancy stages of this season.  

Ryan Weathers is striving for a case to cement his spot in a rotation surrounded with question marks, but he hasn’t pitched into any deep frames.

He has offered a concerningly high exit velocity to opposing bats, posting a 19.2 percent barrel rate through nine total innings with a lowly ranked .381 xwOBA. 

(7:05 p.m. ET, YES)

Weathers takes the mound against the New York Yankees at the Stadium on Wednesday seeking to improve his favored fastball — a pitch that’s putting away batters at only an 8 percent rate and has made for a .429 batting average against. 

The Yankees’ Marcus Stroman has maintained a 3.09 xERA in two competitive starts while delivering a sparkling 0.83 WHIP.

I’m not so sure the Marlins present the same challenges for Stroman: They swing at everything, leading MLB in swing percentage yet not reaching bases consistently (.270 OBP). 

Marlins pitcher Ryan Weathers has struggled early in 2024.
Marlins pitcher Ryan Weathers has struggled early in 2024. Getty Images

Miami has pumped out the highest ground-ball rate in the league.

Stroman is generating a supreme volume of ground-ball outs at a 57.4 percent rate.

The veteran righty has accumulated a positive pitching run value of seven in contrast to Weathers’ minus-17.  

The Fish are simply too slippery to trust, considering they entered Tuesday with an MLB-worst runline record of 1-11. 

THE PLAY: Yankees -1.5 runs (-107, BetRivers Sportsbook)