Not even two full months into the 2025 MLB season, oddsmakers think Aaron Judge has all but locked up the American League MVP award.
The Yankees slugger is a -8000 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook, which implies that there’s a 98.8 percent chance Judge will win the award for the third time.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | -8000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 30/1 |
| Jose Ramirez | 90/1 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 120/1 |
| Wyatt Langford | 120/1 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 120/1 |
| Cal Raleigh | 120/1 |
| Rafael Devers | 120/1 |
Judge is off to one of the best starts of his career, helping him lap the field in the junior circuit.
Through Tuesday’s game, Judge is hitting .395/.488/.746 with 18 home runs and 47 RBIs.
Oddsmakers are giving him a decent shot at winning the AL Triple Crown (+175) and an outside chance at becoming the first player to hit .400 over a full season since Ted Williams in 1941 (+5000).
The Royals’ Witt is the only player anywhere remotely close to Judge at +3000.
Witt, who was the second-favorite coming into the season after finishing second in the MVP voting in 2024, has taken a step back this season, hitting .289/.351/.477 with five homers.
Jose Ramirez is the only other player with odds better than +12000.
In the National League, Shohei Ohtani is a heavy -210 favorite to win the award, setting up a potential back-to-back MVP winner in both leagues.