


There likely is no force of influence stronger than personal experience.
You can create theories, use logic data and history to create predictions and employ the eye test to determine what you think will happen.
But until you see such events in real life, the guesswork always includes some degree of imagination.
Like, Robert Pattinson makes a good Batman. Scrambled eggs mixed with cheesy grits looks awful but is a party in your mouth.
NFL RedZone is inferior to its former competitor, DirecTV’s Red Zone Channel.
And some of the messy backfields we were worried about maybe aren’t as messy as we feared.
Many fantasy managers were worried about committees that didn’t look like they were going to fully develop.
For instance, one drag on Travis Etienne’s draft value was the presence of Tank Bigsby.
But Etienne garnered 78.2 percent of the Jaguars’ RB carries and 77 percent of RB touches.
We love that level of volume. But it does appear Bigsby will vulture some short-yardage scores — he sniped one Sunday. But there is no evidence of a full-blown committee.
It was uncertain how the Saints were going to operate with Alvin Kamara out the first three games. Jamaal Williams didn’t play particularly well (18-for-45), but he got all but one RB carry. With that kind of volume, he provides some value until Kamara returns.
The Eagles’ RB use was surprising. Kenneth Gainwell got almost all the work.
This is the same Gainwell who wasn’t able to beat out Miles Sanders and Boston Scott in recent years, so we don’t think it will last.
But if you are desperate for RB help, you could ride him while he is hot.
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But expect DeAndre Swift, Scott and, eventually, Rashaad Penny to steal some of Gainwell’s workload.
The Commanders don’t offer a lot of quality fantasy options, but if one of their RBs were to graduate to a feature role that RB would garner some fantasy interest.
Brian Robinson Jr. dominated Sunday’s work, with 19 carries to Antonio Gibson’s three.
Miles Sanders, James Conner and Deon Jackson also had around two-thirds of the workload for their respective backfields.
So if you are unafraid to acquire exposure to those lackluster offenses, then at least there is some clarity in those backfields at present.
Alas, with the good comes the bad.
We’re not going to panic, but we did notice Austin Ekeler, Nick Chubb and Bijan Robinson were not the far-and-away backfield leaders we expected them to be right out of the gate.
We’re more concerned with what looked like a three-headed Bears backfield with Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson and D’Onta Foreman.
We mentioned Montgomery and Akers earlier. We’re not surprised Montgomery played a large role, but we were surprised how big — 21 carries to Jahmyr Gibbs’ seven. We expect that to even out in the future.
Akers could be playing his way out of a job. He had 22 carries but just 29 yards (with a touchdown). Kyren Williams was much more productive (15 for 52 and two TDs).
Is it possible the Packers have moved on from Brett Favre to Aaron Rodgers to another franchise QB? Love looked the part in Week 1, even without WR Christian Watson.
With J.K. Dobbins derailed again, whatever rushing work Lamar Jackson leaves will be split between Edwards and Justice Hill. Hill had two TDs Sunday, but Edwards is better built for goal-line work.
He could miss some time with a concussion, but after a big opening game (9 for 81, two scores on 10 targets), worth it to grab then stash him.
Wasn’t much to like about the Carolina offense, but Hurst did get ample looks (seven targets) and was No. 2 among tight ends. That amount of volume consistently would make him a huge find at a thin position.
Not every team will be able to pressure the QB like Dallas, and not every game will be played in a monsoon, but boy did that look bad. The fact the Giants lack dynamic WR talent doesn’t help.
You know how people were surprised how well Smith played last season? That was because we were expecting games like he played Sunday.
Maybe rookie Zay Flowers won’t dominate the targets as thoroughly as he did in Week 1, but figure he is only going to get better. That leaves OBJ as, at best, the second or third (also behind Mark Andrews) or fourth (also behind Rashod Bateman) receiving option on a run-heavy team.
Three targets isn’t going to get it done — 21 tight ends had more. It’s clear the Falcons have no idea how to use him.