The most beatable market in betting is back for Week 1.
Each week, I’ll be targeting some of the most intriguing player props in the NFL.
This week, we take a look at an aging quarterback in a shootout spot, while also targeting receiving threats out of the backfield.
Who said that Joe Flacco can’t get into a shootout at home against Cincinnati?
Flacco, who is now 40 years old, gets the start against the Bengals, who have constantly found themselves in shootouts.
Cincinnati allowed 223.5 passing yards per game and 25.5 points per game last year.
The remarkable aspect of this betting line is that the Bengals allowed Russell Wilson, who isn’t exactly a spring chicken, to throw for 414 yards last December.
Flacco, who topped out at 359 yards last season against the league’s worst passing defense in Jacksonville, is live to again air it out in Week 1.
Flacco went Over 300 yards twice last season and cleared this number of 235.5 four times in seven starts last season. He also cleared 300 yards in five out of six starts in 2023 with the Browns
This is an obvious spot to target Flacco, as the Bengals allowed 30 or more points in six games last season, second-most in the NFL.
It’s Bucky Irving’s world in Tampa Bay; we are all just living in it.
I expect Irving to get an extremely heavy workload this year, especially with Chris Godwin out to start teh season.
Quietly, Irving became a serious threat out of the backfield as a receiver as his rookie season progressed.
Irving had five games with at least 24 receiving yards. Against the Falcons last season, he didn’t do much of that, but, overall, Atlanta was very leaky against receiving backs.
The Falcons allowed 34.5 receiving yards to opposing running backs, the 10th-worst mark in the NFL, and also gave up the second-most receiving touchdowns to backs with six.
This is why I am targeting Irving’s rushing + receiving prop at the highest of the ladders at bet365.
Irving beat this total in three games last season, but those games were in Weeks 15, 17 and 18, when he finally took over the backfield in totality.
With Godwin out and little competition for touches, I’m all in on Irving.
Bijan Robinson will operate on the other side for the Falcons and is looking to rival Irving with similar production.
The Buccaneeers allowed the second-most receptions to opposing running backs (107) last season.
Tampa Bay also allowed 137.8 rushing+receiving yards to opposing rushing backs per game last year, the third-worst mark in the NFL.
I suspect a shootout and a running back showcase in this game.
Target Robinson’s reception total and perhaps some more props as they feed one of the leagues most prolific running backs.
Spencer Rattler isn’t anything to write home about, but one thing you can expect is his willingness to check the ball down.
Alvin Kamara cleared 40 or more receiving yards in eight of 14 games last season (57.14 percent), 50 or more in five of 14 (35.7 percent) and 60 or more in two of 14 (14.2 percent).
Add to the equation that the Cardinals allowed 667 receiving yards to opposing running backs (seventh-most), and you have a potential Kamara show out again in the Big Easy.
Rattler checked the ball down to running backs 11 percent of the time, fifth-most in the NFL.
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.