


Alex de Minaur and Felix Auger-Aliassime are very different tennis players.
While de Minaur is known for his relentless motor and his ability to grind out long rallies, Auger-Aliassime relies on his serve and attacking tennis to keep points short.
The last thing that de Minaur wants is a quick-moving match that’s won and lost with serves. The opposite is true of Auger-Aliassime.
That stylistic battle makes Wednesday’s semifinal between de Minaur and Auger-Aliassime quite fun to handicap, especially since the odds are tight for a tennis match.
De Minaur is the favorite to win the match, but he’s lukewarm at -163 odds, which tells you a lot about how impressive Auger-Aliassime has been in Flushing.
Had this match been played in the early rounds, the Aussie would have been a heftier favorite because he’s been the more consistent player for the past two years.

But Auger-Aliassime’s ceiling is high enough that when he is clicking, he can beat anybody on the planet.
The Canadian made quick work of Andrey Rublev in the Round of 16, and that came on the heels of a stunning upset of World No. 3 Alexander Zverev in the previous round.
Zverev and Rublev are less patient than de Minaur, and their willingness to slug it out with Auger-Aliassime got them in trouble.
If de Minaur is able to stick to his game plan and resist the temptation to go toe to toe with Auger-Aliassime, he should be able to get this match on his terms eventually.
It’s been an impressive run for Auger-Aliassime, but the stylistic matchup here favors de Minaur.
The Play: Alex de Minaur (-163, bet365)
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.