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NY Post
New York Post
8 Jul 2023


NextImg:The media is turning up the heat about ‘record’ temperatures for no reason

For anyone who hasn’t stepped outside in the past few days, it is the early days of summer, and it is — appropriately — hot.

Or as the perpetual climate geeks are saying: It’s the hottest it’s ever been within the last 120,000 years!

After what’s been an unseasonably cool May and June all over the Southwest, we’re told that because it’s now much warmer than in previous early Julys, there’s reason for alarm.

“Some scientists believe July 4 may have been one of the hottest days on Earth in about 125,000 years, due to a dangerous combination of climate change causing global temperatures to soar,” huffs The Washington Post.

“For four days in a row, the planet reached its hottest day ever recorded as regions all over the world endure dangerous heat,” ABC News warns.

“The grim milestones are the latest in a series of climate-change driven extremes,” frets PBS.

Thank God for AC.

“For four days in a row, the planet reached its hottest day ever recorded as regions all over the world endure dangerous heat,” ABC News warns.
AP

There’s no doubt that it’s a hot one, say dads everywhere fretting over their pristinely manicured lawns.

But, per usual, if the shock headlines aren’t flat-out dishonest, they’re at best lacking the cooling balm of context.

The 120,000-years claim is something of a recurring favorite number from “The Experts.”

A CBS News article from all the way back in 2016 cited a study by a then-Obama EPA official that “paints a picture of an Earth that is warmer than it has been in about 120,000 years.”

SUNY Potsdam professor Stefan Rahmstorf claimed in 2018 that July of that year was “likely among the warmest months since the Eemian 120,000 years ago,” referring to a late-stage period of the current ice age.

(Yes, we technically still live in an ice age wherein we’re constantly told to worry about how stuffy it is.)

Add the fact that claims of “record-breaking heat” are based on either human global temperature records, which only go back 140 years of our planet’s 4.5-billion-year history, or computer models that are only as good as their modelers and the data they’re asked to interpret.

If they’re based on human record-keeping, we’re looking at an exceedingly brief period of time on an Earth that we know goes through cycles of warming and cooling.

And if based on models, then it’s a fact that the outcome of those models depends on who is doing the modeling and administering the data.

A widely cited study published in 2021, led by two scientists at the University of Arizona, attempted to gauge Earth’s surface temperatures over the course of the past 24,000 years.

By their own admission, their findings were based on “model simulations and proxy data” that “have at times yielded disparate conclusions.”

Itas a splash for Connor Woodard, 8, from Manhattan, at the Madison Square Park sprinkler on a hot day in high 80s after brutal heat wave.

A professor claimed in 2018 that July of that year was “likely among the warmest months since the Eemian 120,000 years ago,” referring to a late-stage period of the current ice age.
Helayne Seidman

In other words, inconsistent, non-comparable results. To reconcile the disparities, they then created a new modeling system.

There’s no reason to doubt that the two were embarking on a sincere and earnest effort, but conversely, there’s every reason to doubt that any of it is settled science. It’s simply not.

And if they start demanding we all “listen to The Experts” — well, we’ve seen that movie before.

It’s hot outside. Maybe hotter than in 140 years.

Maybe even hotter than in 120,000 years.

Complaining about it in view of the Earth’s 4.5 billion-year climate history is like griping about today’s nasty politics to, say, a Civil War soldier.

The context lowers the temperature a bit.

Eddie Scarry is a columnist for The Federalist.