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D.J. James of the Action Network gives out his best bet for Wednesday’s action:
“Zack Littell has been a classic Rays pitcher. He has been great in the starting role, ranking in the 91st percentile in hard hit rate and 85th percentile in average exit velocity. His slider is also a true wipeout pitch.
“He faces off against Reid Detmers, who has been fantastic this season for the Angels. His strikeout rate is north of 40% with a walk tate right around league average. That said, his hard hit rate and average exit velocity also rank well, which has led to a 1.04 ERA and sub-2.60 xERA.
“The Angels have been about league average off of right-handers this season. Littell should carve them up because, aside from the top of the batting order, the Angels have not executed off of righties this season. There is a steep drop-off to the rest of the lineup.
“Tampa Bay has had the same issue with only a few hitters with a .330+ xwOBA off of left-handers in limited at-bats. Granted, this can turn around eventually, but not with Detmers pitching the way he has.
“However, the bullpens are the biggest threat to under bettors in this game. Nonetheless, the Rays ironed their bullpen issues out in 2023 as the season progressed, and the Angels have a few arms who can help take care of business as well.
“Overall, the under should be played to 7.5 in this matchup because the bottom of each lineup is weak and will not manufacture runs in crucial spots against these strong starters”.
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